I'm on the cusp of accepting a 5 year mortgage with HSBC on 4.04% and paying the ERC charge of 1.1k (which pains me, as that's a new Ps5 and some games) to switch from a 2 year deal on 5.84%. Right now, this will save us about £66 per month that if I overpay for 5 years, will shave about 6k off the mortgage when we renew. Right now, this sounds like a no brainier.
BUT... are we on the cusp of a crash worse than the banking crisis? Debt is massive, our UK debt (and US) is massive and high interest payments just compound this. Interest rates are high because of inflation but high interest rates can cripple an economy if the debt payments are so high, which they are!
Employment is high (from what I can see) so now should be the time where we are making good progress to reduce our debts but according to the ONS, our debt is just going further up! High interest rates stagnate companies, people lose their jobs and rely on government handouts, people pay less tax and that debt is going to go up even faster!
If we are back to pre banking crisis then 4% is a good rate and I should snap their hand off to accept it! But the banks only offer this because they believe the rates are coming down, potentially below 4%.
My girlfriend is money savvy in the sense she has no debt but talking to her about this stuff just gets her ready to slap me.
I'm not financially educated in the slightest but research and learn myself and I just feel like I'm seeing a good rate right before something massive kicks off!
Did I say I procrastinate too much? (Goes off an orders a Ps5!)