Okay, race prediction: Hamilton, Norris, Leclerc. Max and Russell collide and ruin each others race. Pérez finishes outside the points. Tsunoda and Zhou both score points.
For the first one, the Ferrari has shown it's not great on its tires over a race distance so I don't think Leclerc will be able to keep pace with the McLaren and the Mercedes. Hamilton has been stronger in race than quali all season and was within a hair's breadth of Norris in Quali so I think he'll come good across the length of a race.
Max, I think, will be disinclined to give any quarter now he's already won the WDC and led RB to the WCC, and Russell is going to want to assert himself too. A collision seems more likely than not.
Pérez has, to be fair, been better this weekend and the track isn't the worst for him, but he's had so many stupid incidents lately that I think him stuffing something up in more likely than not.
And, if the rest of that happens, Tsunoda and Zhou are pretty much a shoe-in.