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Thunderstorms 2026

lol I'm in Brentwood but really high up so I can see to the Dartford crossing and London - and it looked black as hell earlier,

Seems to have been way worse to my south west, some saw so much hail it looked like it had snowed overnight
 
Some storms expected later, although limited to KENT!

https://images2.~imgbox~/55/7c/MdamwQ6F_o.jpg

A bit active towards NW France :eek:
 
Thunderstorm risk tonight, then tomorrow/thursday :D


There are likely to be some thunderstorms around the UK this week, some potentially quite intense. However worth putting things in perspective. The setup for us in the UK is not on the same level as the severe weather environment affecting parts of France. There, high instability/CAPE overlaps with very strong deep-layer shear. Convergence zones, drylines and orographic triggers were all helping storm development. ESTOFEX issued a Level 3 for a reason.
 

Heavy showers and elevated thunderstorms are likely to develop intially towards SE England and East Anglia in the early hours of Wednesday, as a result, within the destabilising warm plume axis advecting out of the near continent. A band of heavy showers and elevated thunderstorms then spreading north and northwest across the Midlands and northern England through the morning, but tending to weaken. Sunny spells following from the south across Wales, central and southern England - but with temperatures reaching 24-26C and higher humidity inland - may allow further heavy showers and thunderstorms develop here - particularly north of the M4 across Wales, The Midlands and perhaps up into NW England. Heavy showers and perhaps an isolated storm may develop across SW Scotland too into the evening. There is a risk of localised flash-flooding, hail, gusty winds and frequent lightning with stronger thunderstorms.


Further risk of thunderstorms moving up from the south from early Thursday, but this will be covered by a new Thunderstorm Watch issued later on Wednesday.
 
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