Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)

thats an interesting question and based on other comments already being flagged as a constitutional crisis..

there doesnt seem to be any "checks" in place. and if you have yes people around no ones going to stop you. <abit of topic for stocks but relavent>

so imagin how much damage to the economyS (of the world) can happen over the next 3years.
over 365 executive orders this year.. based on 1 executive order per day.

thats not to mention the impacts that havent even reach shelves yet.
if the like of walmark are worried one of the biggest retail chain int he US who see the supply chain issues as part of business it should set out the true state of the economy.
from our perspective the stocks will tank and a good buy oppatunity potentially. even if stocks dont tank, possivility earnings reports will be under expectations, even if expected.
 
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I think the last week or so has been quite important for us investors. Whilst I'm not complacent about Trump and his propensity for the unexpected we've seen a few things that could give us some confidence that the system is holding.

1. They've realised how the bond market works and how it controls any sovereign country who needs to raise debt finance. The capital flight from US assets only serves to push bond yields up and increase the cost of the debt.
2. Trump has blinked in the tariff battle with his biggest rival, China. Xi has called his bluff and Trump has been shown up as weak.
3. He's once again had to back down from his bullying talk with regard Jerome Powell.

That's three major climb downs inside a fortnight which could be signalling that despite his best efforts, Trump realises he isn't quite as potent as he thought he was. Of course all of this is spun with the usual brass neck that we are accustomed to but the facts are that Trump's tinkering has threatened recession, lessened the possibility of a short term rate cut and made the US less attractive to foreign investment. I have no doubt he'll come up with some other attention seeking wheeze in the ensuing weeks but the above show that there are some economic safety rails.
 
I think the last week or so has been quite important for us investors. Whilst I'm not complacent about Trump and his propensity for the unexpected we've seen a few things that could give us some confidence that the system is holding.

1. They've realised how the bond market works and how it controls any sovereign country who needs to raise debt finance. The capital flight from US assets only serves to push bond yields up and increase the cost of the debt.
2. Trump has blinked in the tariff battle with his biggest rival, China. Xi has called his bluff and Trump has been shown up as weak.
3. He's once again had to back down from his bullying talk with regard Jerome Powell.

That's three major climb downs inside a fortnight which could be signalling that despite his best efforts, Trump realises he isn't quite as potent as he thought he was. Of course all of this is spun with the usual brass neck that we are accustomed to but the facts are that Trump's tinkering has threatened recession, lessened the possibility of a short term rate cut and made the US less attractive to foreign investment. I have no doubt he'll come up with some other attention seeking wheeze in the ensuing weeks but the above show that there are some economic safety rails.

It doesn't really matter, if you examine Trumps motivations... he caused major market turbulence, so 'he and his friends' could sell stock on a high, and re-buy back in lower.

It's a complete success when you look at it from that perspective.

But it's a 'one trick pony'... the markets now know, not to pay too much attention to his rhetoric.
 
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slowly creeping back to the green again, 2% plus gain on my holdings for the week.. maybe 2.5% once all my funds declaire their end of day prices.

Watched a program yesterday that said since late Feb, the s&p has dropped 19% at this rate it will be over two months before we start to see market highs again... get them while they are cheap.
 
slowly creeping back to the green again, 2% plus gain on my holdings for the week.. maybe 2.5% once all my funds declaire their end of day prices.

Watched a program yesterday that said since late Feb, the s&p has dropped 19% at this rate it will be over two months before we start to see market highs again... get them while they are cheap.
One tweet for Donald will wipe out all these gains though in half an hour. It's a dangerous game.
 
slowly creeping back to the green again, 2% plus gain on my holdings for the week.. maybe 2.5% once all my funds declaire their end of day prices.

Watched a program yesterday that said since late Feb, the s&p has dropped 19% at this rate it will be over two months before we start to see market highs again... get them while they are cheap.


Just don't start believing that the worst is behind us. Even without the orange ceberably challenged man child , when there are stock crashes there has often been short recoveries before retreating to even lower lows. With the neurologically deficient criminal at the wheel, then the risks are super high. i'm prepared to wipe out the next 4 years.

That being said the Dumpster seemed to have been spooked this week and folded like a cheap camp chair from Temu.
 
thre is the flip side now.
with the Orange one putting it weight all around and not quiet going to plan. it wont belong now untill the powers that be start pushing back. the jack is out of the box now, if i were CorR i'd be looking at the weakness and oppatunities that have been handed them, as well as push back to see how far the orange one will go.
i think the 1st round might be coming to a close but the 2nd round?
also the issues with India will have an effect on the outsoursing potentially depending how far that goes.
 
I’m not convinced we’ll have steeper lows. I think trump might have realised just a small amount of the complexity of the world. I don’t have a clue if the “what” is right, but the “how” clearly isn’t.

So fingers crossed he finds something else to **** around with that doesn’t hammers people’s investments.

4 years of killing people’s pensions isn’t going to work for him.
 
I’m not convinced we’ll have steeper lows. I think trump might have realised just a small amount of the complexity of the world. I don’t have a clue if the “what” is right, but the “how” clearly isn’t.

So fingers crossed he finds something else to **** around with that doesn’t hammers people’s investments.

4 years of killing people’s pensions isn’t going to work for him.
Damage is done. People are forgetting we still have tariffs, uncertainty is off the scale and that is terrible for business and consumers alike.

Big rallies are common in bear markets, only time will tell but recession is nowhere near priced in to markets.
 
Intel poor choice as share.
it depends as i tend to but when its at book price ,last time it was under i.e the total shate price was under the total asset price , i posted a shot of my trade but roughly made $2 on over 500 shares , so yeah poor choice :p
i am back in again ,want to see what the new CEO can do ,plus potential tie ins with other chipmakers ect et

anyway i can tell by your in depth analysis you are a real expert and look forward to your Intel short term forecast :p
but yeah there are better choices out there , maybe i have got two attached to the Intel name and they may even end up at a new low but i just have this feeling....................
 
it depends as i tend to but when its at book price ,last time it was under i.e the total shate price was under the total asset price , i posted a shot of my trade but roughly made $2 on over 500 shares , so yeah poor choice :p
i am back in again ,want to see what the new CEO can do ,plus potential tie ins with other chipmakers ect et

anyway i can tell by your in depth analysis you are a real expert and look forward to your Intel short term forecast :p
but yeah there are better choices out there , maybe i have got two attached to the Intel name and they may even ,end up at a new low but i just have this feeling....................

$2 a share for a $20 it not even worth spending time on the trade.. based on the price the max you get is 10% or 11% at the current price the higher the price you purchased but the lower the return based on the $2 return per share. You spent min $10k plus the div is 2% on 20 dollars which is very poor.
I stay well away from intel.
 
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