No it's not a moot point because he's right, the hardware configuration is guaranteed to be the same. They know they can do this certain graphical effect because the amount of shader pipelines are fixed (as an example). When a developer makes a PS3 or a 360 game, they know exactly what they can and can't do, which affects their overall vision and ambition for the project.
Maybe Im not reading it how you intended so appologies if thats the case , but surely this CANT be the case otherwise there surely wouldnt be such increase in quality of the gameplay and visuals over the lifespan of most (if not all) consoles?
Admittedly I havent read developer style articles for a long while - but I used to continually hear them talking about how they went further than intended in certain respects because they found new/better ways of doing the same thing?
Totally agree about your comments re PC programmers though
I think that we will get 2 more generations of console. The PS4 and new Xbox in 2012 and then the final generation in about 2018. By the time that generation becomes end of life in about 2025, we will just play games via a TV (sky/virgin?) box by downloading them. The box itself will not be anyones focus, the focus will just be on the games.
In some ways, I think each increment of technology is less important than the last.
I sincerely hope you are very wrong, as has been said in other ways, the more centralised (or generalised) the hardware gets the worse the games will get (as games become less and less of a priority for the manufacturer - ie sky/virgin)
In general I dont think Sony (who have a better reason than MS due to their tv/electronics division) or MS will ever fit tv tuners into their "console" boxes, as this (certainly used to, and I believe still does) imposes a much higher tax on each unit and therefore it gets more tricky for the manufacturer to make it worthwhile for the public to buy.
As Sony have done with Play TV (maybe ms have too, Im just not as up to date on all xbox hardware) making an add-on available probably is the best of both worlds (majority of users dont want the extra expense of a tuner in the console, so dont pay for it or the additional tax - those that do require it pay a fractional increase on the tax on a cheap add on which makes little difference)
I think its also about brand awareness - if you have the Sony (or MS) logo shining at you while you are gaming, psychologically it works in their favour (in theory at least) when you are buying a tv or hifi (or general software /hardware from MS's point of view), I just cant see Sony or MS wanting to give that over to Sky/virgin (and Im not sure gaming hardware, even on a cheap scale - would be something that Virgin/Sky would want to manage in the 1st place (1st level support would have to be thiers I would have thought - and this would increase gigantically imo)
There will always be "lifelike 3d withouth glasses" or VR gaming (not that old chestnut lol) just around the corner for new consoles to be sold on the back of (like DVD , BR and whatever else)
They will be much more generalised media players (without tuners lol) Im sure you are correct - and they amy well be joined by Sky /Virgin at that point but I stil think MS and Sony will be selling their own hardware platforms