Brexit thread - what happens next

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Soldato
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Sarkozy's been riding the unicorn on the Calais issue. How likely is he to become the French president again? That's the only snag I can see. Further, I can't recall whether the treaty itself refers to the UK or France or both as EU members. I'm sure that's something May, Johnson and Rudd will receive advice on in due course.
 
Caporegime
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The agreement won't change with France. It is against international law to start shipping them over to the UK so that is why we have this agreement in place.

International law? No. This is about France doing us a favour that they're now finding onerous. If you're thinking of the first country thing: that's EU law, the Dublin Convention.
 
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From a quick Google, it's us, France and Belgium that have juxtaposed arrangements in place, and at least two things will be affected:

Treaty between the Government of the United Kingdom and the Government of the French Republic concerning the implementation of frontier controls at sea ports of both countries on the Channel and North Sea

Nationality, Immigration and Asylum Act 2002

After the Treaty of Maastricht and protocols which were subsumed by the latter treaty and the act, both may be interpreted in the context of an EU freedom allowing for joint control of external borders and for a member's officers to move about the EU (even though we're not in Schengen). Can't recall if Dougan went into great detail about this.
 
Soldato
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International law? No. This is about France doing us a favour that they're now finding onerous. If you're thinking of the first country thing: that's EU law, the Dublin Convention.

They can move the immigration control to the UK. Doesn't mean they are legally allowed to stick people on a ferry and send them to the UK. It will be blocked through international law, the UK will enforce passport and visa checks by the ferry operators which they are allowed to do and as a final step they will close the route to France. It will last all of 1 maybe 2 ships before the plan failed. Even then international law allows the UK to return them to the first safe country I.e. France.
 
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Soldato
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No one is saying they would actively send ships with immigrants on board.

However, they don't have to do anything to stop it if they wished. Once on the UK side these people become the UK's problem.

Up until now France have realised that if this was actually possible, Calais would have 10x more immigrants in the first place and so as a deterrent have had the border on their side.

France are responsible for letting that wasp nest get out of control, it’s nothing to do with us. Just another product of the irresponsible left.

Imagine having it on the UK side. They would all apply for asylum and then you would have to follow due process before being able to deport them back to their country of origin if you can even find out where that is.

Even then international law allows the UK to return them to the first safe country I.e. France.

After due process if they claim asylum.
 
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Caporegime
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No one is saying they would actively send ships with immigrants on board.

However, they don't have to do anything to stop it if they wished. Once on the UK side these people become the UK's problem.

Up until now France have realised that if this was actually possible, Calais would have 10x more immigrants in the first place and so as a deterrent have had the border on their side.



Imagine having it on the UK side. They would all apply for asylum and then you would have to follow due process before being able to deport them back to their country of origin if you can even find out where that is.

Simple enough, just stop giving a **** about what the "international community" thinks, and halt all any asylum cases within the UK that happen to come from malicious vessels.

Then instead of doing some stupid loop with the French, we send em to the bottom of France instead, so that they'd have to travel all the way back or at great expense to the French Taxpayer.
 
Soldato
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France are responsible for letting that wasp nest get out of control, it’s nothing to do with us. Just another product of the irresponsible left.

Well, looking at the decades concerned, it's a fair mix, chap. Most recently: Tony and Bush went into Iraq and Afghanistan; Obama got involved in Lybia; everyone and their uncle roughhoused Syria; Israeli-Palestine stand-off never went away; civil strife in Africa across the political spectrum. Same broad spread for the foreign intelligence involvement in the region, and governments have rotated in the meantime. And not even one Corbyn character making big calls.

Stop being irresponsible with your history.:p
 
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Caporegime
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No one is saying they would actively send ships with immigrants on board.

However, they don't have to do anything to stop it if they wished. Once on the UK side these people become the UK's problem.

Up until now France have realised that if this was actually possible, Calais would have 10x more immigrants in the first place and so as a deterrent have had the border on their side.

Quite... remove the border and we'll have some more migrants slipping through the net as having ferry operators having to check passports/visas will be less efficient... but the French will have even more migrants arriving and a bigger bottleneck in Paris.

The way to deal with this that actually works is to take a tougher approach and start sending more back, isolate those who arrive while processing them. Australia has done this and has pretty much solved the issue of economic migrants traveling through several safe countries in order to get there.
 
Soldato
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No one is saying they would actively send ships with immigrants on board.

However, they don't have to do anything to stop it if they wished. Once on the UK side these people become the UK's problem.

Up until now France have realised that if this was actually possible, Calais would have 10x more immigrants in the first place and so as a deterrent have had the border on their side.



Imagine having it on the UK side. They would all apply for asylum and then you would have to follow due process before being able to deport them back to their country of origin if you can even find out where that is.



After due process if they claim asylum.

The law allows them to claim asylum first or third country. The UK will be allowed to send them to first country if wanted. Arguably France is already third country which makes it even harder for refugees to come to the UK.
 
Soldato
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Well, looking at the decades concerned, it's a fair mix, chap. Most recently: Tony and Bush went into Iraq and Afghanistan; Obama got involved in Lybia; everyone and their uncle roughhoused Syria; Israeli-Palestine stand-off never went away; civil strife in Africa across the political spectrum. Same broad spread for the foreign intelligence involvement in the region, and governments have rotated in the meantime. And not even one Corbyn character making big calls.

Stop being irresponsible with your history.:p
The places they are coming from have always been war torn crapholes. The only difference now is with modern tech word spread around the world within days that sheer numbers trump EU borders. From that point on it was a feeding frenzy for any chancer from a **** country. And while the chancers are creating a rape/crime tsunami across Europe, they’re using finite resources and destroying good will for genuine refugees.
 
Soldato
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Below are extracts from an article by Germany's vice-chancellor Sigmar Gabrielr reported by BBC online this weekend.

It quite clearly shows that Europe cannot afford to give the UK and easy ride out of the EU for critical political reasons.

Germany's vice-chancellor has warned the future of the EU could be in doubt if the UK's exit is handled badly.

Sigmar Gabriel said the EU would go "down the drain" if other states followed Britain's lead and that the UK could not keep the "nice things" about Europe while taking no responsibility.

Mr Gabriel, who is also economy minister in Germany's governing coalition and Chancellor Angela Merkel's deputy, told a news conference that as a result, the world now regarded Europe as an unstable continent.

"Brexit is bad but it won't hurt us as much economically as some fear - it's more of a psychological problem and it's a huge problem politically," he said.

Mr Gabriel also said on Sunday that trade talks between the EU and the US had "de facto failed".
The plan - known as the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership or TTIP - aimed to remove or reduce a wide range of barriers to EU-US trade and investment.
However, the move has been controversial in many of countries involved, including Germany and the UK. Critics say TTIP is driven by big business and would be bad for jobs, consumers and the environment.
 
Soldato
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TTIP.. another bogus reason that was given to leave the EU.

We're going to be more exposed to a similar agreement outside of the EU.

Don't be silly we are going to get a treaty that benefits the people and punishes big business. We'll force the US market to accept such terms because we are a bigger market than the EU.
 
Soldato
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Below are extracts from an article by Germany's vice-chancellor Sigmar Gabrielr reported by BBC online this weekend.

It quite clearly shows that Europe cannot afford to give the UK and easy ride out of the EU for critical political reasons.

which we all knew, but at the same time they can't lose us buying from them. Thus the process has to be carefully handled but can't look too inviting.

OFC other countries don't have our importing power so they will have less to bring to the table.

I just want it to hurry up as this uncertainty will keep us in a damaging limbo, at least if we leave and bottom out we can rebuild.
 
Soldato
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which we all knew, but at the same time they can't lose us buying from them. Thus the process has to be carefully handled but can't look too inviting.

OFC other countries don't have our importing power so they will have less to bring to the table.

I just want it to hurry up as this uncertainty will keep us in a damaging limbo, at least if we leave and bottom out we can rebuild.

I think you are missing a fundamental point here. Buying power will take a back seat to EU collapse which if you read the full article is a very real possibility.

If the EU starts to implode then the financial and political ripples will be felt globally not just in Europe and not just in the UK. I think too many people are thinking parochially in this thread and there is far more at stake than just us.
 
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rape/crime tsunami

Really?

Sounds more like the paranoid ravings of a bigot to me.

If there was anything close to what you suggest I suggest every one of the Eu nations would have pretty much nothing but that as news.

Its not what I see when I travel with work, nor what any of my European colleagues mention at all.
 
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Simple enough, just stop giving a **** about what the "international community" thinks

Hopefully the other 99.99% of the country are a bit more sensible.

Choosing to go against the "international community" despite the legal issues would make us completely untrustworthy internationally, good luck with trade deals then.

Starting to sound like some people would consider it acceptable to have as much trust in us as north korea, just to stop dem immigrants
 
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