Soldato
- Joined
- 10 Sep 2008
- Posts
- 11,973
- Location
- Bangor, Northern Ireland
Had AV in Northern Ireland for a few years now, seems to work well so ill be voting for that.
It is just as likely that voting for AV will just as effectively kill any further debate for PR.
In fact it is more likely that those pushing for reform will gain momentum if the AV yes vote fails as more people look into PR and other reforms in the constituency and parliamentary arenas also.
To your first part, why would it? The Lib Dems want a proportional system and AV isn't it, if they gain more seats they have a bigger voice and more power.
To your 2nd, this is about the political will to change the system, something that is lacking. Just like Turkeys aren't going to vote for Xmas nor are the Conservatives or Labour going to go for a voting system which will savagely cut their power, especially if they've already won a vote that says people want FPTP. As I mentioned, Canada from a few years ago is a good example of where we are now and what will happen if this vote goes to FPTP.
I am going to be voting No to AV because it upsets the Yes to AV people so much.![]()
No, being able to stipulate your 2nd preference is a 2nd preference, not a 2nd vote. To claim that under AV it's one person, multiple votes, is just the same rubbish spin as me saying FPTP; Lots of people, no votes. Everybody has one vote in both cases and the systems are just different.Well yes, with AV you DO get a 2nd vote (of sorts). Being able to stipulate your 2nd preference is a 2nd vote, and so on.
The target varies from round to round and even then it wouldn't be 50% of people who voted, only 50% of the votes counted in a certain round.
It can be if somebody's first preference is eliminated and they didn't have any second preferences. In reality it just means there vote isn't transferred rather than not counted, as it's counted for a candidate that didn't win so has no effect on the outcome, and so in that regard it works just like FPTP.I don't see how that's any different.
Whichever way you vote, Parliament will see that as a vindication of that system
I think you are wrong to claim that the PR debate is weakened by the AV change. In fact, for those supporting the implementation of the recommendations in the Jenkins Commission, it is very much a stepping stone, with AV for constituency elections being a fundamental part of it. You can add party lists to AV to arrive at the conclusions in the report. While it isn't pure PR, it is a pretty decent system that doesn't do a bad job of ticking all of the British political boxes. It's probably one of the better options we have.Voting for AV doesn't mean the PR debate will be stronger, quite the opposite in fact as many people asking for electoral change will be satisfied with AV and those that still campaign will simply be sidelined by "We have already changed the system".
In reality, not at all. If Parliament were to close its doors and all media and public interest in politics were to end, maybe. Otherwise, we can be sure that Parliament is not deaf.Whichever way you vote, Parliament will see that as a vindication of that system