The 2013-14 betting thread! **Spoilers**
- Thread starter el_dazza
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You're just copying that guy on Facebook
yip - seeing as his last one did really well (he did £25 to £5000 in 10 days), I bottled it out at £500 from original £25 starter last time.
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Who is he :O I wana play
if you search facebook for
Ultimate challenge tipster
He pops up - he doesn't claim to be anything special, just someone who seems to spend a bit of time looking at the bets and odds etc.
He did 25 to 5000 about 2 weeks ago.
Soldato
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Treble on England/France/Spain to win £50. Hope Spain don't do a stupid.
Soldato
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Done, £50. Not bad for a tenner. Wish I'd stuck on more now, especially given France won by the highest margin even though they had the lowest odds of the 3 favourites.
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Recently been having accumulators and failing miserably so i'm back to my tried and tested methods where i've made money before.
Rules for me are:
- Planning on betting on games when odds are between 1.02 - 1.08.
- I'll look at match stats to see how many shots there have been, how much possession etc and try to rule out any shock comebacks.
- Markets to bet on Unders and match outcomes.
- I'm going to be playing purely on Stats, no emotions, no opinions, only what is probably going to happen.
So far, started off strong, gone from £10 - £24 over the last few days. I know i'll get stung eventually but hopefully i've withdrew enough to cover this.
Anyone else got any systems that seem to work for them?
Edit: Another addition to my rules.
- When going on an Under bet, make sure that there is an extra goal breathing room. i.e game is 3-1, bet on Under 5.5 or Under 6.5
Rules for me are:
- Planning on betting on games when odds are between 1.02 - 1.08.
- I'll look at match stats to see how many shots there have been, how much possession etc and try to rule out any shock comebacks.
- Markets to bet on Unders and match outcomes.
- I'm going to be playing purely on Stats, no emotions, no opinions, only what is probably going to happen.
So far, started off strong, gone from £10 - £24 over the last few days. I know i'll get stung eventually but hopefully i've withdrew enough to cover this.
Anyone else got any systems that seem to work for them?
Edit: Another addition to my rules.
- When going on an Under bet, make sure that there is an extra goal breathing room. i.e game is 3-1, bet on Under 5.5 or Under 6.5
Last edited:
Soldato
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I went to sign up at SkyBet for their Super 6 game but when registering it doesn't recognise my perfectly legit postcode. Sooo annoying.
Soldato
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Low odds are terrible imo, especially if you're solely looking at in-play odds. One loss wipes out when hell of a lot of gains and if you're looking at in-play (which I assume so based on your 3-1 comment) then the odds, I find, often aren't realistic at all.
I'm a fan of low odds betting but I agree that one loss can wipe out a lot of gains.
One thing I've found is that if a team is say favourites and 1 goal up and around 1.15 quite early in the game. There's not much value backing then because the odds don't have much movement to get a cash out profit.
My favourite bets are when the big teams go down to an early goal and then laying the underdogs. This has worked brilliantly a lot. City in the league cup is a great example as were united last season (less so this season)
One thing I've found is that if a team is say favourites and 1 goal up and around 1.15 quite early in the game. There's not much value backing then because the odds don't have much movement to get a cash out profit.
My favourite bets are when the big teams go down to an early goal and then laying the underdogs. This has worked brilliantly a lot. City in the league cup is a great example as were united last season (less so this season)
Soldato
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My bet 5 Euro Accumulator
Chelsea v Tottenham - home 4-7
Norwich v Stoke Draw 9-4
Hull v Sunderland Home 23-20
Celta v Atl Madrid - Away 4-6
Espanyol v Elche Home 8-11
Sampdoria v Livorno Home 4-6
SC Bastia v P$G Away 1-3
Returns 351 Euro
Chelsea v Tottenham - home 4-7
Norwich v Stoke Draw 9-4
Hull v Sunderland Home 23-20
Celta v Atl Madrid - Away 4-6
Espanyol v Elche Home 8-11
Sampdoria v Livorno Home 4-6
SC Bastia v P$G Away 1-3
Returns 351 Euro
I don't bet that way because the way I view it stats are largely what drive the bookies odds in the first place, plus their cut of course. So I'll be playing into their hands, unless I focus on some obscure market perhaps.
My 'strategy' if you can call it that is to look for outcomes that I believe are overpriced, i.e. I work out my opinion of what the odds should be and then compare that with what is on offer. Depending on how big the difference is I may decide to 'go large'
So looking at tomorrow's Prem fixtures the ones that jump out at me are:
WBA < MU @ 1.87, expected ~1.7
Chelsea = Spurs @ 4.15, expected ~3.9
MU definitely seem worth a bet, when you consider WBA haven't won since New Year's Day and are missing Anelka and possibly Brunt/Morrison.
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