Villa 12/1 for relegation - We've got Hull (H) and then City and Spurs away. The MOST we can get is 3 points and we're dreadful at home so I reckon we'll get 1. That puts us on 36.
Norwich would then need 6 points from their last 2 games. They won't catch us.
Fulham have Stoke away and Palace at home. Both winnable so they could catch us. They would need to win both though.
Cardiff probably won't catch us, they need a minimum of 2 wins against Sunderland, Newcastle and Chelsea.
Sunderland would need 8 points from Cardiff, Man U, West Brom and Swansea. The 3 easier games are at home and they have beaten United away in the League Cup this season.
Fulham and Sunderland could catch us. If we lose to Hull we'll go down. I think it's worth a punt. 1 point from our last 7 games is dire.