Lotto question.

kaiowas said:
Unless you choose the winning numbers.

Studies have proven that there is a significant statistical edge to be gained when following this stratagy.
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yup, there is definitely a significant statistical advantage in using a time machine or rigging the draw :)
 
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dowie said:
irrelevant - the result doesn't affect the probability you had prior to the draw being made



using what strategy?

there is no edge in terms of the chance of winning at a particular level, there is an edge over certain (more common) combinations in terms of increasing your EV, increasing the chance of winning more money

though likewise there will therefore exist other combinations (rarely selected by others) that give you a better chance of more money/higher EV than random numbers too
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Are you familiar with the phrase 'taking the ****'? :p
 
cainer said:
the downside of playing the same numbers is that if you miss a draw you go into panic mode incase yours get drawn
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I think if it comes to the point you're panicking about a Lottery draw being missed then you have a problem that requires serious attention :p
 
dowie said:
1,2,3,4,5,6 is the worst possible combo you could pick
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True enough, one of the only player stats they've ever released is that this is the most commonly played set of numbers.

Numbers over 31 give you a better chance of not splitting the pot as they're less commonly played owing to not being a birthday number.

Obviously you want the least frequently played of those
 
norm said:
Are you any more likely to win over the long term using random numbers for each draw vs using the same ones each time?
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The odds are the same for every draw regardless of what numbers you choose.

Hence, why I prefer Lucky Dips. I don't play that often so using random numbers each time (which I don't remember after checking) means I avoid the possibility of 'my numbers' coming up the week I don't play.

You cannot affect the odds of getting 6 numbers by the numbers you choose, but you can affect the amount you may win when the numbers do come up. This only applies to the non-fixed amounts that are split (like the jackpot for example). This is because most people choose their numbers using things like birthdays, so avoiding all number between 0-12 is a good idea, as is limiting the numbers under 31.

No 'system' other than buying more tickets will affect your chances of winning, but choosing 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, & 49 is probably the best chance of scooping the most money if you do win.
 
peterwalkley said:
Must change combination on my luggage ......
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Technically the series of numbers on your luggage lock is a permutation and not a combination. If it is the latter it undermines the security of your lock. ;)

Combination = A specific series of numbers/letters in any order (so 1,2,3,4 and 4,3,2,1 are one combination)

Permutation = A series of numbers/letters in a specific order (so 1,2,3,4 and 4,3,2,1 are two different permutations)


The Lotto is a combination draw, so it doesn't matter what order the numbers come out of the machine in. Hence the odds of winning for one line is...

6/49 x 5/48 x 4/47 x 3/46 x 2/45 x 1/44 = 1 in 13,983,816

If it were permutation based it would be....

1/49 x 1/48 x 1/47 x 1/46 x 1/45 x 1/44 = 1 in 10,068,347,520
 
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dowie said:
yup, there is definitely a significant statistical advantage in using a time machine
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Because I'm a sad individual I've often thought about this and come to the philosophical conclusion that due to the butterfly affect if you went back in time the draw would be different anyway.

Although that's another discussion....
 
estebanrey said:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy
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facepalm_statue.jpg
 
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