Forecast the future

Burnsy2023

Burnsy2023

Burnsy2023

Man of Honour
Joined
17 Nov 2003
Posts
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Location
Southampton, UK
So this is inspired by a podcast I listened to recently about competitions where people predict future events.

On 1st January 2018 at 00:00 what will the world look like?

1. Who will be the current President of the United States of America?

2. Will Jeremy Corbyn still be labour leader? Yes/No

3. Will David Cameron still be the leader of the Conservative party? Yes/No

4. Will the UK have voted to leave the EU in a referendum? Yes/No

5. Will the UK still be a member of the EU? Yes/No

6. What will the price of futures in Brent Crude oil? Prices will be in $10 ranges, i.e $30.00 to $39.99 rounded to the nearest two decimal points in USD. If anyone posts a single number, that will be regarded as the lower bound.

Only your first answers will count and you must answer all questions. We'll take a look in two years time and see who got them all right (if any). Yes/No questions must be answered with either a simple yes or no.

My answers:
1. Hillary Clinton
2. Yes
3. Yes
4. No
5. Yes
6. $60-$69 USD
 
1. Hillary
2. Yes
3. Yes
4. No
5. Yes
6. $40-50

Two years is a long time, the EU related questions will have an answer in 4 months, how about Jan 2017?
 
  1. Martha McSally, Trump will select her as his Vice-President and she will assume the reigns after Trump is assassinated by the Mexican cartels.
  2. No, he'll be dead. ***** removed - gone too far. ****
  3. Yes.
  4. Yes.
  5. No.
  6. $120
 
Why is question 5 definitely a Yes/No... why is the OP's opinion/view final on that? If we vote 'Yes' to leave there will be a process where we're in the middle of leaving... it isn't necessarily binary we're in at the moment at some point we could be out and in between that, well there could be a more ambiguous arrangement for a period
 
dowie said:
Why is question 5 definitely a Yes/No... why is the OP's opinion/view final on that? If we vote 'Yes' to leave there will be a process where we're in the middle of leaving... it isn't necessarily binary we're in at the moment at some point we could be out and in between that, well there could be a more ambiguous arrangement for a period
Click to expand...

The question is specifically designed to be black and white to avoid confusion when it comes to revisiting the thread. You're either right or you're not.

If you want to take part n my thread you need to abide by my rules, it's really that simple.
 
OK but in order to make it black and white can you define exactly at what point you'd consider us to be out of the EU if we chose to leave? I mean if we stopped sending MEPs to the parliament but were still party to certain agreements, free movement, EU rules etc.. while negotiations carried on?

Do you suppose that one day we're in and the next we're out or something?
 
dowie said:
OK but in order to make it black and white can you define exactly at what point you'd consider us to be out of the EU if we chose to leave? I mean if we stopped sending MEPs to the parliament but were still party to certain agreements, free movement, EU rules etc.. while negotiations carried on?

Do you suppose that one day we're in and the next we're out or something?
Click to expand...

Ok, that's a better question. I can work with that. I would define membership as still being subject to all the current EU treaties and being considered a full member by the EU itself.
 
1. Hillary Clinton
2. No
3. No
4. Yes
5. Yes*
6. $70-$80

*Obviously I have answered 'Yes' to 4 - since I have to pick either 'Yes' or 'No' I've picked Yes as I believe we'll be part way through exiting the EU but likely still subject to some treaties...
 
Burnsy2023 said:
Ok, that's a better question. I can work with that. I would define membership as still being subject to all the current EU treaties and being considered a full member by the EU itself.
Click to expand...

what if we're considered a part member/hybrid situation but the EU - neither out nor in... I'm not nit picking... if we vote Yes then negotiations will take a few years and a hybrid situation is quite likely
 
dowie said:
what if we're considered a part member/hybrid situation but the EU - neither out nor in... I'm not nit picking... if we vote Yes then negotiations will take a few years and a hybrid situation is quite likely
Click to expand...

Would the EU consider us still a full member at that point in time? This is a question about how long you think negotiations would take just as much as anything else.
 
Burnsy2023 said:
Would the EU consider us still a full member at that point in time? This is a question about how long you think negotiations would take just as much as anything else.
Click to expand...

well exactly - my actual answer which you deleted is that we'll be in the process of leaving...
 
1. Hillary Clinton
2. No
3. No
4. No
5. Yes
6. $150-$159 USD (expecting the poop to hit the fans as the global economy can't sustain the current low oil prices for another 2 years)
7. Will Dowie still be bothering OcUK like an annoyingly useless daddy-longlegs by filling threads with worthless posts or will he be permabanned - Most definitely permanbanned :D
 
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