Brexit thread - what happens next

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The negotiations likely wont include all 27 EU member states, the main ones will be Germany, France and Netherlands along with Tusk, Junckers and Shultz. The other members will just be expected to go along with it.

I should have been clearer, it requires a Qualified majority of the 27 to agree also, even if they aren't part of the negotiations.

I will say that Ireland is pushing very hard to get on the negotiating team at the moment, it think that would serve the UKs interest to have us there too.

Nate
 
I've applied for about 4 different types of visas over the years in the UK...it's expensive, complicated and can take a very long time if you're unlucky. I'm guessing i've spent upwards of 5k GBP in visas alone for UK. I missed my graduation because of how long it took to get a visa and have at other times been unable to leave the country for 1-4 months at a time. I've heard of other people who've been unable to leave for over a year.

Whoever said that it is just 'filling in a form' has no idea what they are talking about.

I was lucky, it only took around £1k and 9 months for me to get my spousal visa for Canada, arrived the day before flying out (literally). Also lucky that they are one of the few countries that respect common law relationships. That said I still have a two year clause in there. If we split up I'm out on my ear...

It took over two years for my sister to get her sposal visa for Australia and by other halves brothers application for his other half is coing up for a year and a half now.

but obviously it's just as simple as applying. :p

The Canada/Oz/Nz situation could be interesting if it ever came to fruition, on the other hand we will have taken one step backwards so it pretty much evens it all out.
 
Given you can't even get the name right, you should maybe research a bit about their ideology and politics, it's not the nationalism you think it is

The Scottish National Party are a left wing liberal party whose ideals are similar to those of other left wing groups such as the LibDems while the UKIP party types seem to be inherently nationalistic.

I was making a point that the SNP are, by their very nature, nationalist. As per their wiki entry:

Wikipedia said:
"The Scottish National Party (SNP; Scottish Gaelic: Pàrtaidh Nàiseanta na h-Alba, Scots: Scots Naitional Pairtie) is a Scottish nationalist..."

Not that there's anything wrong with that at all, as I said 1.5m people voted for them. But the term nationalist when applied to England now has very negative connotations, which is crazy. Flags are absolutely everywhere when you visit the US, Ireland, and loads of other places, but a England flag on display (when the English aren't in major sport tournaments, like now...) is generally frowned upon.

Personally I think Sturgeon is being a little hypocritical in wanting to take Scotland out of the UK and into the EU. As you say the SNP are left wing and anti-austerity, which is exactly the opposite of what they will get by joining the Euro, as Mark Blyth explains below from 2:35:


 
I was lucky, it only took around £1k and 9 months for me to get my spousal visa for Canada, arrived the day before flying out (literally). Also lucky that they are one of the few countries that respect common law relationships. That said I still have a two year clause in there. If we split up I'm out on my ear...

It took over two years for my sister to get her sposal visa for Australia and by other halves brothers application for his other half is coing up for a year and a half now.

but obviously it's just as simple as applying. :p

The Canada/Oz/Nz situation could be interesting if it ever came to fruition, on the other hand we will have taken one step backwards so it pretty much evens it all out.

Fresh calls for Australia to withdraw from the commonwealth faceBook news tells me.
 
Apparantly Spain have already said they will veto Scotland joining the EU.

They don't want Catalonia or the Basque regions getting any more hopes/ideas of independence, they also want Gibraltar whom the SNP seem to be working with to try and preserve special EU status. I doubt Belgium would approve it either as they have Flanders/Wallonia wanting the same, I'd imagine other countries will have similar basis for blocking Scottish membership.
 
I dont understand Nicola Sturgeon, she has already been told that when UK leaves the EU that Scotland does to, she has also been told that if Scotland become independant some time in the future then they can apply to join the EU but it is also clear that some member states will veto the application. Does she not listen?
 
I dont understand Nicola Sturgeon, she has already been told that when UK leaves the EU that Scotland does to, she has also been told that if Scotland become independant some time in the future then they can apply to join the EU but it is also clear that some member states will veto the application. Does she not listen?

Is that why politicians got the referendum wrong? They all didn't listen.
 
I dont understand Nicola Sturgeon, she has already been told that when UK leaves the EU that Scotland does to, she has also been told that if Scotland become independant some time in the future then they can apply to join the EU but it is also clear that some member states will veto the application. Does she not listen?

I'm sure that if it was something you cared about that a politician was still campaigning hard for even after being told no you'd have a different opinion. Or should they all just roll over every time they're told no?
 
I'm sure that if it was something you cared about that a politician was still campaigning hard for even after being told no you'd have a different opinion. Or should they all just roll over every time they're told no?

Good point, this isn't something i have a strong view on to be honest hence likely why i find it hard to understand her tenacity. I wonder if there was another Scottish independance referendum if the result would be any different to the last one, it could be years before this is looked at again.
 
Not sure if this has been posted yet. Former US ambassador John Bolton on Brexit...
 
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I wonder what the situation would be if the shoe was on the other foot and the majority of England had voted to stay in but Scotland swung the vote to leave. I don't mean how would people react because they would react just the same as now, i wonder whether Westminster would have gone against the vote. I'm guessing they would but i suppose we'll never know.
 
I dont understand Nicola Sturgeon, she has already been told that when UK leaves the EU that Scotland does to, she has also been told that if Scotland become independant some time in the future then they can apply to join the EU but it is also clear that some member states will veto the application. Does she not listen?

Read this

http://www.snp.org/nicola_sturgeon_is_in_brussels_today_get_the_facts_here

And scroll down to the bit that says here's what prominent EU politicians have been saying about Scotland's place in the EU. It pretty much explains everything.
 
He couldn't own most of his academic and industry opponents, for starters, and even people in his camp disagree over the free-market reforms and assumptions he wishes to see bear fruit. Textbook economics can only take one so far, and he's going by the book and crossing his fingers. Nor, sadly for Leavers, is he yet in any position to influence policy. If you think there's appetite for Thatcherism max, you're misjudging the public mood as much as Corbyn is misjudging his breadth of support.

But as you're a fan, I won't labour the point.

If you think Minford is Thatcherism max, you should check out the EU, it's capitalism on steroids. Discouraging or outlawing public ownership of common services (and forcing Greece to sell theirs), austerity max across so much of the continent, massive red tape favouring mega corps and stifling innovation and small business. And then of course the campaign to keep us in it bankrolled by Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley and co, such stalwarts of progressive social democracy.

As Jim Sillars (Ex SNP former deputy) once said "The Treaty of Rome enshrines the ethic of capitalism, giving it the right to move wherever it wants across the continent, irrespective of the damage done to communities". Nice summary I say.

Funny you mention Corbyn, a self-proclaimed democratic socialist who up until was politically pressured into it, was clearly against the EU and what it stood for. Historically the Labour party was always anti-EU, precisely for the above reasons. Another key democratic socialist, Tony Benn, vehemently against the EU, and is also quoted as saying something similar to Jim Sillars above. The EU is not about progressive social democracy, it's ultimately for big business.

I'd give it 7/10. Especially if they go for imperial nostalgia, wild theories of cultural assimilation, violent segregation, repatriation or encouragement of social disorder with silly rhetoric.

If they start encouraging an infantile worldview, two-bit thuggery and proudly wave jingoistic willies at the world? Sure. I would be quite vocal about them too, but they don't. Are there are some extremists among the cyber nats? Yep. Is the party mostly just New Labour in Tartan with far from nationalistic social policies? Yep, certainly no English Democrats, Liberty GB, BNP, EDL, UKIP or other high calibre nuttery we witness south of the border feeding off each other.

And English nationalism, particularly when its construed along the lines of white and nativist prerogative, has a rather more troubled history. Only a rather sheltered fantasist isn't capable of seeing its negative and largely emotional effects of clouded judgement and social discrimination.

Indeed there is a simple rule of thumb for me: if they love their people and their country -- fine; if they tell you they are better than others because of where on the planet they happened to be birthed, and blame all the world's ills on them, with no other distinguishing features or contributions to their name -- they can jog on.

I do enjoy your rants :p

Yes there are idiots like the BNP, Britain First etc, who frankly should be stamped out/jailed at the first sign of any of their "real" intentions, but I doubt you would attach such negative connotations to the 350k Northern Ireland citizens who voted leave, nor the 1m+ Scots who voted leave. Equally I doubt your statement of there being more "nationalists than Minford's" would apply to those voters.

There are idiots on both sides of any debate, especially one that captures the emotions of the whole country. You shouldn't make sweeping generalizations that play up to a media frenzy. A reporter got punched at an anti-Brexit rally in London the other day for having a Union Jack on his hat. Completely unprovoked. Progressive social democratic? Yeah right.

Oh, silly things like not wanting ludicrous deregulation, better working conditions, health and safety, environmental protections, consumer assurances, standards, and the list continues. In Minford's world of perfect competition -- most of this goes, and people currently heading into power are only a few steps removed from him on their economic thinking. Hence the obvious fight, which Labour would be fighting if they could agree amongst themselves to be a competent opposition.

Clearly we disagree as per my point above, the EU ultimately stands for big business, not the people.

And as for how the EU developed: thank France for most of its inward looking measures; should have been there earlier and tried harder. But this aspect of reform from within is moot now.

Naturally, we disagree. We never had any real influence and never would have if we stayed in. One thing is for sure, we have more negotiating leverage now than we did before, like how the EU bureaucrats are saying "start article 50 now" and we're saying "no thanks, we'll take out time". Merkel is being a bit more measured than the unelected Brussels crew though, perhaps as she has an election next year.
 
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