Analysis - legitimate liberal concerns about feared Iranian military escalation after Trump’s bold gambit, and my considerations in reaction:
1) Concern: striking
#Soleimani was in violation of international law
Consideration: Trump designated IRG as a terror group. If you reluctantly accept Obama’s strike against Bin Laden, and recently Trump’s of Baghdadi, it isn’t *technically* much different,though it is in reality
2) Concern: in reality the IRG is also Iranian military (Iranian Revolutionary Guard) & so (even though its backing of militia in Lebanon, Syria & Iraq is irrefutable) it is also *more* than a terror group. It is the national army of a state. So they may still respond with war
Consideration: this is true & is why this is Trump’s bold gambit. But, so far indications are Iran hasn’t declared traditional war against US & won’t do so. Rather, if she attacks again via her proxies, she is now uncertain whether Trump will reply again *directly* against Iran
3) Concern: This is a declaration of war, leaving Iran no option but to reply with war
Consideration: in fact by attacking UK ship in Hormuz, kidnapping sailors,missiles at Aramco,downing US drone,killing US contractor& raiding US embassy,Iran had already effectively declared war
4) Concern: killing Soleimani will further endanger US & Arab lives
Consideration: hundreds of thousands of Syrian civilians (and many Iraqis) were already tortured,bombed,slaughtered or gassed due to Soleimani & his proxy militia. He was already killing, and planning more deaths
6) Concern: this was a violation of Iraqi sovereignty& Iraqi PM complained
Consideration: Iraq’s sovereignty was already(erroneously)violated by Bush. Post ISIS, US troops are in Iraq at behest of current gov. As are Iranian proxy militia. In other words, Iraq is a conflict zone
7) Concern: Iran may incite attacks on US interests globally, via proxies
Consideration: true, but Soleimani attack changes rules of game, in a way not done since invasion of Iraq. Iran no longer knows if a direct attack will be the American reply. Proxies are no longer deniable
8 ) Concern: I don’t trust Trump to engage in war
Consideration: Understandable. But you shouldn’t trust anyone. Like the world, war is a messy business. It was Obama who initiated drone strike assassinations & “Presidential kill lists” without congressional oversight. Not Trump.
9) Concern: Ok but I wish to defend international norms & their being chipped away at
Consideration:understandable. But Iraq & then Syria already pretty much destroyed this. This strike may herald an end to a period of unchecked slaughter in Middle-East, facilitated lots by Iran
10) Concern: I’m scared of war.
Consideration: yes. So were all the children tortured to death in Syrian jails, in front of their parents, by Assad’s regime that Soleimani was instrumental in maintaining via his proxy death squads sent to Syria