Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)

Not sure where to ask but looking for a little bit of advice/opinion.

Well I'm 37, due to previous employment i had some share options which turned into Zynga shares (yes Farmville Zynga) back in 2014, they all vested years ago but I sat on the as yes having a extra 10k in the bank would be nice but it wouldn't be enough for my gaols (help buy a house).

If you are not aware it was announced that Take 2 is going to buy Zynga, for $3.50 in cash per share on top of $6.36. or roughly $9.86 per share in total value

https://www.reuters.com/markets/dea...a-an-enterprise-value-127-billion-2022-01-10/

The current share price spiked on the news and is now hovering around the $9.10 mark, not a million miles away from the take over price if it goes through.

My question is I wonder am I better off cashing in soon and not bothering to wait for takeover.

I say this as if its anything like when Zynga brought my past employer (NatualMotion) The Zynga shares that turn into take 2 share will likely be restricted in stages and so I can't just sell up to help pay for a house/house deposit and to be honest I don't think there is the scope for Take 2 share to grow to much if at all.

I'll be interested to hear people opinions

i don’t think you would be locked up if you hold out for the takeover to go through and end up holding TakeTwo shares. It’s quite a different situation to when Zynga acquired your former employer which was a private company, at which point the lock up would have been to incentivise employees (some of whom probably made a lot of money) to continue working there. So don’t let that influence your decision. You can sell the shares the day after you get them.

Really in your mind you need to weigh up the likelihood of three scenarios. Firstly the takeover falls through and the Zynga share price drops back to where it was. Secondly it goes through as currently planned. And thirdly, someone else comes over the top with a higher offer (note that there is a go shop period ending next week so you might at least want to wait until the end of this). If you weigh these up and get a price above today’s you should hold. If not, sell.
 
Reckon we'll see a big drop tomorrow with the markets closed Monday....hold on to your butts.

All cash at the mo, will be exciting next week if Putin goes for it...
 
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Reckon we'll see a big drop tomorrow with the markets closed Monday....hold on to your butts.

All cash at the mo, will be exciting next week if Putin goes for it...

I see lots of discussion around buying Oil and similar ETF's due to the rumbling over Putin and Ukraine. Can't help feeling that a lot of people are going to lose money if he backs down and it all fizzles out...
 
I see lots of discussion around buying Oil and similar ETF's due to the rumbling over Putin and Ukraine. Can't help feeling that a lot of people are going to lose money if he backs down and it all fizzles out...

Well there's going to be a lot of movement whatever happens.

Interesting to see if this Credit Suisse stuff has any impact, they could be in trouble.
 
lots of greens on my portfolio (but early) ,hope it lasts ,at least US shut today edit /didnt last long!!
 
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Hovering over the buy on SMT....probably a good time to buy and then log off for the year.

Still have that niggle in the back of my head that this may be the year we have a proper meltdown though...decisions.
 
Kept my powder dry....down we go! Are we going to see some proper momentum build up, or is this the buy-in point....

Will wait and see what US does...
 
Can't help the feeling that getting into the markets right now is madness. With the Ukraine situation and the US still sitting on their hands when it comes to dealing with their inflation I can't see this being a good year.
 
Can't help the feeling that getting into the markets right now is madness. With the Ukraine situation and the US still sitting on their hands when it comes to dealing with their inflation I can't see this being a good year.

I've lost a decent amount so far, 20% roughly.
I'd hope we're near or in a dip. Or at least I'd hope anything I choose to buy would give me a profit in a couple of years.
 
I've lost a decent amount so far, 20% roughly.
I'd hope we're near or in a dip. Or at least I'd hope anything I choose to buy would give me a profit in a couple of years.

Oh we are in a dip but the question is how far this correction will go. I would argue that this is merely the first part of what should be a natural correction to an inflated market and that the real dip will come based on the mess the world is in right now.

It makes no sense that the world has been in a pandemic for the past 2 years and the stock markets have ballooned. Its all borrowed growth.
 
Can't help the feeling that getting into the markets right now is madness. With the Ukraine situation and the US still sitting on their hands when it comes to dealing with their inflation I can't see this being a good year.

We're 40% down from peak. It's objectively a better time to get in than a few months ago.

Might it fall further? Sure, it might. But what are you gonna do, leave your money in a savings account where it definitely falls as it gets eaten away by inflation?

I stick to the Buffet idiom, be bold when others are fearful etc....
 
or get back in slowly, doesn't have to be all at once.
I'm still waiting tho, expecting more escalation in ukraine plus sanctions, and more rate rises, it's only going one way for the next month or so imo.
 
We're 40% down from peak. It's objectively a better time to get in than a few months ago.

Might it fall further? Sure, it might. But what are you gonna do, leave your money in a savings account where it definitely falls as it gets eaten away by inflation?

I stick to the Buffet idiom, be bold when others are fearful etc....

What do you mean 40% down from peak? I'm not sure what metric you are using there.

My basic logic is that when the worst is probably yet to come and the US still haven't addressed the elephant in the room (nor has China) then its unlikely to be anything like the floor at the moment. I could have course be completely wrong.
 
What do you mean 40% down from peak? I'm not sure what metric you are using there.

My basic logic is that when the worst is probably yet to come and the US still haven't addressed the elephant in the room (nor has China) then its unlikely to be anything like the floor at the moment. I could have course be completely wrong.

I mostly focus on SMT, a tech-focused ETF. It's down around 40% from it's peak late last year....largely in line with the wider tech sector.

Putin has invaded now...this is probably as bad as it gets for this little drama as far as the markets are concerned.

If you don't see a 40% correction as a buying opportunity, I don't know what is. You don't need to nail the bottom of top of the markets, but if you can get in and out there or thereabouts in these movements, then you're winning.
 
Has anyone invested in a startup/fundraiser on platforms such as Crowdcube? A business local to me is fundraising next week and I'll be looking at it if it's an EIS or SEIS, though I've not invested through either of these before. Any advice or experiences to share?

Not the stockmarket I'm aware, but fairly on-topic based on past conversations and the fundamentals of what you're doing (investing in a company).

I have, although generally small amount (£50-£100), mainly Curve and MoneyDashboard. Neither were EIS though so can't really offer much assistance on those.

Anyone got an up to date view on putting funds into something via Crowdcube? I've not used it before.

For info Gary Usher is looking to raise £2m for his restaurant business soon and I'm likely to chuck a few £ in. It's the first time they're doing it in exchange for shares so am keen to see full details when it comes out. He's an incredibly likeable bloke with a very good team behind him. To date he's done various Kickstarters and achieved £50k in an hour for one and £161k in under 24 hours for another. It sounds like a daft plan but I can see him pulling it off.

https://www.thecaterer.com/news/elite-bistro-events-hits-crowdfunding-target-less-24-hours
 
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