Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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Chuk_Chuk said:
The full damage of the sanctions on the global economy is something we are yet to see and are unkown.
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True, it can only be modelled.
Chuk_Chuk said:
Russia defaulting on their debts could cause a large chain reaction of events and its unknown who will get hit the hardest at the end of that chain reaction.
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There is not a firm out there who haven't got a handle on thier Russian exposure (Blackrock ahem). Private individuals invested in Russia are likely to be high net worth (or maybe not so much now) and not Jo Public (yes pensions, see my previous point). No idea who holds Russian paper.
Chuk_Chuk said:
Another unknown is how this will affect the strength of the US dollar going forward which could weaken the geopolitical strength of the USA.
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True I suppose but you might also try and guess what the weather will be like on the 1st of June in Bognor.
 
*Russian and Iranian Foreign Ministers to Meet in Moscow on Tuesday – RIA News Agency
https://twitter.com/CGTNEurope/status/1503393621193764868

*U.N. Secretary-General Guterres: The UN Will Allocate an Additional $40 Mln From Its Central Emergency Response Fund to Increase Humanitarian Aid to Ukraine.
*U.N. Secretary-General Guterres: Raising the Alert Level of Russian Nuclear Forces Is a ‘Bone-Chilling Development’
*U.N. Secretary-General Guterres: Prospect of Nuclear Conflict, Once Unthinkable, Now ‘Back Within Realm of Possibility’
https://twitter.com/UN_Spokesperson/status/1503392438467055622
https://twitter.com/UN_Spokesperson/status/1503393382797918210
 
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*IMF Report: Migration and the Continued Loss of Ukraine’s Productive Capacity Would Cause a Significantly More Pronounced Drop in Output.
*IMF: We Estimate Ukraine Facing External Financing Gap of $4.8 Bln, Further Large-Scale Concessional Financing Is Needed.
*IMF Staff Report: Ukraine’s Public Debt Is Expected to Rise to 60% of GDP in 2022, Up From 50% in 2021.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-economy-could-shrink-by-third-due-russia-invasion-imf-report-says-2022-03-14/

*Ukraine’s Naftogaz: Russian Gas Transit Through Ukraine Will Continue as Long as We Are Able to Operate.
*Ukraine’s Naftogaz: Sanctions Should Be Placed on Nord Stream 1.
*Ukraine’s Naftogaz: EU’s Payments for Russian Gas Should Be Placed in Escrow.
https://twitter.com/PriapusIQ/status/1503393980918161422
https://twitter.com/PriapusIQ/status/1503394226125651970

*Turkish Defence Ministry: NATO Will Host an Extraordinary Defence Ministers Meeting on Ukraine on March 16th.
*Russia Is to License Some Grain Exports if the Ban Is Imposed – Interfax.
https://twitter.com/AllawiSsemanda/status/1503400459754688519
https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1503395258473881604
 
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Rilot said:
Maybe they should stop buying Russian gas then......
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We're no better Boris has promised to stop buying russian oil "by the end of the year" which is stupidly long time by then the war will likely be over one way or another either ukraine will be entirely in russia's hands or russian tanks will be rolling over the border into Poland all funded by their oil and gas exports
 
Illuminist said:
Ah the propaganda war continues, last week it was 5,no 15, no 40km! Long convoy 14km from kyiv. Such bs
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I mean it literally was that long and they had stalled for various reasons, but yes the news around the convoy was a bit ridiculous.

The problem is that Kyiv is not a small city and they need to ensure supply lines can reach their entire encirclement without themselves being encircled which would effectively end any further assault on the city.
 
0007 said:
'Pentagon official: Russian forces do not have enough men and equipment to encircle Kyiv, let alone take it — Sky News'
https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1503397795323162633
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The bulk of Russian forces are still grinding the east and south fronts - I suspect the Russian forces to the north are outnumbered even by the Ukrainian forces held back to defend the capital/west of the country. It all seems a bit strange.

StriderX said:
I mean it literally was that long and they had stalled for various reasons, but yes the news around the convoy was a bit ridiculous.
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Ultimately it wasn't a solid 5 or 40km convoy anyhow - there were sections were for a couple of miles it was 3 vehicles wide and other parts where there was maybe not much more than 3 vehicles in a mile - but it was a continuous line of forces without significant breaks.
 
*US Official: Almost All of Russia’s Advances Are Still Stalled.
*Senior U.S. Defense Official: The United States Believes That Russia’s Attack on a Ukrainian Base Was an Air-Launched Cruise Missile Strike Launched From Russian Airspace.
*Senior U.S. Defense Official: The US Believes That Strikes on Ukrainian Bases Will Have No Effect on the Military Resupply Effort for Kiev.

Senior defense official begins: "We'll just say at the top that there's actually not a lot of specific changes or progress to speak to in general [in Ukraine.] Almost all of Russia's advances remain stalled."
Russian forces are "still right around the airport around 15 or so kilometers from city center of Kyiv. As I said last week, we do see them trying to flow in forces behind the advanced elements, that continues, but not at a great pace."
"The assault on Chernihiv remains stalled. There's a very strong Ukrainian resistance there. We would assess that essentially Chernihiv is isolated, although the Ukrainians over the weekend did try to open up some lines of communication to the south and south east."
"Russia is facing heavy resistance from the Ukrainians who ... are still in control of Brovery, which is where late last week you were seeing tank convoys being struck. We still assess that the Ukrainians are control that and are keeping that Eastern line of advanced at bay."
"Ukrainian forces continue to defend [Kharkiv] .. with a pretty stiff resistance. [Russians are" there on the outskirts, as they were on Friday, but they've gotten really no closer to that. The fighting in Kharkiv remains pretty, pretty significant."
"Ukrainians continue to defend Mykolayiv, the Russian forces still appear to be outside the city to the northeast. No real movement since Friday. And then on Odessa, again, nothing significant to report -- no looming amphibious assault in on Odessa."
However, "more than a couple dozen cruise missiles damaged at least seven structures" during a Russian strike on a Ukrainian military training facility this weekend about 15 miles from the border with Poland -- the closest strike yet to a NATO country.
"I would note that in our assessment, all these air-launched cruise missiles were launched from long range bombers ... from Russian airspace, not from inside Ukrainian airspace ... A no-fly zone inside Ukraine would have had no effect on this particular set of strikes."
"Additional U.S. security assistance shipments went [to Ukraine] over the weekend as part of the previous $350 million security drawdown package that President Biden approved. He approved another $200 million [this past weekend], and we are fast at work on filling that out."
No Russian efforts to recruit additional manpower or additional battalion tactical groups from elsewhere in Russia to come to the west, so far, though "we know they're advertising for foreign fighters ... We haven't seen them try to replenish stocks."
"While [Russian President Vladimir Putin] has launched more than 900 missiles since the beginning [of the war,] the Russians still have a lot of capability left to them. We would assess their available combat power as just under 90%." -Senior U.S. defense official
"There are certain systems we still have not acknowledged even on background that [the U.S.] is giving" Ukraine. The official will not speak to those systems due to operational security concerns.
"We don't give out numbers, we don't give out timing of the of the shipments [or] provide context on the locations and the ground routes through which is arriving because we want to keep [those] security systems flowing as much and as fast as it can to assist them in the fight."
"Generally speaking, the areas where we assess [Russia's] struggled, it is largely because of the Ukrainian resistance .. in each of these areas, with the exception of the ones in the south, where we've talked about [how Russia has] had progress." -Senior U.S. defense official
However, in some cases, Russia "regrouped deliberately on their own to reassess & try to mount additional offensive operations, so .. there have been times in places where they pause themselves to regroup or restart, try to change their their battle plan to achieve an objective."
But "even in the south, however, [Russian troops] seem to have been somewhat frozen. It is largely because of the Ukrainian resistance." -Senior U.S. defense official.
"We would still maintain that the airspace is contested. The Russians have not achieved air superiority over all of Ukraine. [However], it's a dynamic space, so there are times and places where one or the other has more [control.]"
Russia has "more assets available ... flying many more times per day," but "the Ukrainians are still using very skillfully the air defense systems at their disposal, whether that's surface-to air-missiles, or MANPADS, & they prevented the Russians from achieving air superiority."
"There's an ongoing dialogue" between the U.S. and Ukraine on security assistance. "We're not just putting stuff on pallets and sending it over there without some sort of coordination and communication with the Ukrainians about what it is they need."
No change expected for U.S. troops in Poland after Russian missile strikes nearer to Polish border. "This has not changed our posture & it certainly hasn't precipitated any specific decision to move or reposition anybody else into or out of Poland," Senior U.S. defense official.

Source: https://twitter.com/CaitlinDoornbos/status/1503399119703973897
 
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*Turkey’s President Erdogan: I Discussed the Ukraine Situation With Germany’s Chancellor Scholz.
*Germany’s Chancellor Scholz: The Talks Are Going Well, but We Need to See Results That Lead to a Cease-Fire Soon.

Erdogan & Scholz speaking live in press conference:
 
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