Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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Sounds like the Azov prisoners were in the prison that "Ukraine" attacked, I wonder if the British prisoners facing the death sentence were there too, it would be convenient for Russia if they all died and they could blame Ukraine for it
 
Craterloads said:
What is going on with the war right now? seems not much has happened since Russia captured severadonesk. Are the Russians still taking a “pause” or actively trying to capture new territory.

All I’m hearing on news is ukranians making moves on Kherson, hitting ammo dumps etc
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The Russians have gained more ground since the pause than the ‘gathering momentum’ posts.
Nothing has changed. Propaganda still the only thing that is continuous.
 
Putin: 'We're liberating Ukrainians who are desperate to join Russia!'

Reality:

Russian authorities have imposed a system of interrogation, detention and forced deportation for civilians in areas of Ukraine they now occupy.

The big picture: The U.S. State Department estimates that between 900,000 and 1.6 million Ukrainians, including at least 260,000 children, have been through Russia's "filtration" process, which Ukrainian and U.S. officials have said amounts to a war crime.
  • Many of these children, including some taken from their parents, are believed to have been adopted by Russian families, according to multiple reports and human rights groups.
  • Many adults — particularly those suspected of working with the Ukrainian army or nationalist militias — are believed to be in Russian detention camps in eastern Ukraine, a recent U.S. intelligence assessment found.
Taras Ulyanchenko, a 21-year-old student from Mariupol who went through the filtration process, was more fortunate. He was ultimately able to leave Russia, but only after detention, intense interrogation and a long and stressful journey.
  • Speaking to Axios via multiple video interviews, Ulyanchenko gave the "Axios Today" podcast a harrowing account of his experience through Russia's filtration system.
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(Source).
 
Craterloads said:
What is going on with the war right now? seems not much has happened since Russia captured severadonesk. Are the Russians still taking a “pause” or actively trying to capture new territory.

All I’m hearing on news is ukranians making moves on Kherson, hitting ammo dumps etc
Click to expand...

My armchair general view is that Russia is having a hard time making gains, throwing numbers at the Ukrainian lines but not really getting anywhere.

Meanwhile Ukraine seems set to recapture Kherson and attempt to sweep the Russians along the southern coastline.

I don't want Russia to win here, but it's hard to see how they can without more general mobilisation. They clearly could find more troops amongst their populace but it's going to upset a lot of people.

Support for Ukraine from various countries still seems good, inflow of equipment and aid, it feels like Russia has bitten off more than they can easily chew on here.
 
The slightly ironic thing is that all of the shelling will have made it harder for Russia to defend these places they've taken.

They obliterated a lot of the infrastructure and food supply on the way in, so they can't really heavily reinforce anything.
 
HungryHippos said:
My armchair general view is that Russia is having a hard time making gains, throwing numbers at the Ukrainian lines but not really getting anywhere.

Meanwhile Ukraine seems set to recapture Kherson and attempt to sweep the Russians along the southern coastline.

I don't want Russia to win here, but it's hard to see how they can without more general mobilisation. They clearly could find more troops amongst their populace but it's going to upset a lot of people.

Support for Ukraine from various countries still seems good, inflow of equipment and aid, it feels like Russia has bitten off more than they can easily chew on here.
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Last 10 days there doesn't seem to have been any major territory changes - Russia has closed some pockets in the east, some minor back and forth changes in the south.

Russia seems to be putting a lot of its efforts more towards shoring up its logistics currently - building temporary bridges and roads, etc. in occupied territory for military movements to the front.

I can't really see them waiting that long but seems some of Russia's efforts at the moment are towards building up mobilisation and equipment for another push, basically a repeat of the start of this conflict, if it freezes over in the coming winter. Over the last ~3 weeks there has been quite a bit of tanks and artillery pulled from deep storage moved to staging areas within Russia rather than rushed into Ukraine.
 
Yes, I see mobilisation by degrees being most likely as well.

Russia playbook is very much on the basis of people won't notice if they take it slowly, somehow. Russian people don't seem that free-thinking in general, so hell it may just work on them.

They have a lot of very old tanks and stuff in storage, but I wonder what they'll do if these run out. Ukraine has gotten very good at taking out old tanks from what I've seen.
 
HungryHippos said:
They have a lot of very old tanks and stuff in storage, but I wonder what they'll do if these run out. Ukraine has gotten very good at taking out old tanks from what I've seen.
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I don't know how well it matches the overall figures but some OSINT analysis of satellite imagery of several Russia depots tends to indicate (bare in mind that is just from surface analysis of identifiable hardware and can't account for stuff under cover/buildings or bunkers, etc.) that they've depleted deep storage facilities by around 30-40%, maintained reserves by around 20% and sites used by active forces by around 30%.
 
www.dailymail.co.uk

Russia facing 'economic oblivion' and LOSING financial war with West

As panic spreads across Europe over the prospect of gas rationing, it is in fact Russia which is on the ropes, with business in retreat and sanctions catastrophically crippling their economy.
www.dailymail.co.uk www.dailymail.co.uk

60845067-0-image-a-44_1659107889293.jpg
 
bingham67 said:
www.dailymail.co.uk

Russia facing 'economic oblivion' and LOSING financial war with West

As panic spreads across Europe over the prospect of gas rationing, it is in fact Russia which is on the ropes, with business in retreat and sanctions catastrophically crippling their economy.
www.dailymail.co.uk www.dailymail.co.uk

60845067-0-image-a-44_1659107889293.jpg
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And it gets worse because Russia has been trying to replace Europe by selling gas to India and some others at bargain bin prices and then found out they can't actually deliver the gas due to sanctions lmao
 
Pretty hard to move gas around without pipes which take years to implement and Russia doesn't have remotely enough LNG infrastructure required to transfer it in that manner so it's a case of whoever blinks first loses.
 
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