I think the only time I've seen that exact symptom turned out to be a faulty batch of monitors. It does seem too coincidental to be just after your open card surgery though - although still worth testing. You could always boot a live linux CD or memory stick rather than reinstall. If it happens in that too, you know it isn't the Windows install. Doesn't necessarily prove that it's Windows if it doesn't flicker as it's a very different setup but it's quick, easy and non-destructive.
Thanks! I’m also using the same monitor for my work MacBook and there doesn’t seem to be an issue there, although that is a USB-C display input, so different.
I do also have my old PC which I can put the card into… which is probably the quickest way of determining if it was self-sabotage!
The only windows event viewer logs that might be related are windows security log-in things… but I’d be surprised if that was doing anything.