F1 2011 world champion?

Driving smoothly is all well and good, but as we saw last year, Hamilton (most aggressive driver in F1) Vs Button (most smoothest)...the smooth driver was hopelessly out-gunned.

240 points vs 214 points
3 wins vs 2 wins
4th in the championship vs 5th in the championship

I'd not exactly call that "hopelessly out-gunned"!
 
Qualifying: Ham (14) But (5) [Hamilton out qualified Button in races 73.5% of the time (vs 26.5%)]
Race: Ham (12) But (7) [Hamilton finished ahead of Button in races 63% of the time (vs 37%)]

[I believe that I've calculated the qualifying performances correctly]

The stats above demonstrate exactly why I stated that Button was hopelessly out-gunned.

My belief is that this year, the gap between Button and Hamilton will actually increase (compared to last year), for reasons which relate to the KERS button and the movable rear wing.
 
and not decrease because last years car was designed around and for Hamilton whilst this should be suited better to both and plus Button has a year more experience within the team?

I don't feel it's as cut and dried as you seem to think!
 
I don't feel it's as cut and dried as you seem to think!

I actually believe that Button had a good year in 2010. Conversely, I felt that Hamilton drove poorly (by his own standards).

Next year, I think Hamilton will drive better and should be able to increase the gap to Button by using the KERS and movable rear wing more effectively.

1 of the F1 drivers today stated that the movable rear wing is VERY difficult to use. The problem being that when you are entering a corner, having de-pressed the movable rear wing button, the wing does not re-position itself instantaneously. Drivers shall need to be extremely skilled at using the movable rear wing AND KERS buttons at the same time. My belief is that out of all the F1 drivers, Hamilton should gain the most.


In a year's time, if I'm wrong, you can remind me of this.

At this point though, these are merely predictions.
 
I actually believe that Button had a good year in 2010. Conversely, I felt that Hamilton drove poorly (by his own standards).

Next year, I think Hamilton will drive better and should be able to increase the gap to Button by using the KERS and movable rear wing more effectively.

1 of the F1 drivers today stated that the movable rear wing is VERY difficult to use. The problem being that when you are entering a corner, having de-pressed the movable rear wing button, the wing does not re-position itself instantaneously. Drivers shall need to be extremely skilled at using the movable rear wing AND KERS buttons at the same time. My belief is that out of all the F1 drivers, Hamilton should gain the most.


In a year's time, if I'm wrong, you can remind me of this.

At this point though, these are merely predictions.

In that case Button should be able to use the wing more effectively than Lewis, since it's intellectual capacity you're on about, which we all know Button has more of, than Lewis. ;)
 
LOL Hamiltons driving intelligence is average at best - hes quick and has guts, no one will deny that, but my, does he show how stupid he is way too often...

Im quite happy to sit on the opposite side of sunamas opinion-cum-facts :p

ps3ud0 :cool:
 
Im quite happy to sit on the opposite side of sunamas opinion-cum-facts :p

...so many non-believers.

By any chance, were you one of the people who believed that Button would finish ahead of Hamilton last year (after he won 2 out of the first 4 races)? I was one of the few who stood by original prediction that Button would be trounced.

Also, were you of the opinion that Webber had any chance of finishing ahead of Vettel last year, even when he was leading him by around 20 points?

People probably thought I was mad when I suggested that Vettel is comfortably superior to Webber and will finish ahead of him in the title standings.

Button is the very definition of steady Eddie. Unexciting, doesn't possess prodigious amounts of speed, but knows how to bring the car home, in the points, almost every time. All No.2 drivers should learn from him as he is the best at what he does.

Hamilton is a lead driver, who is expected, year-in, year-out to finish ahead of his team-mate. Even Alonso was unable to out-score Hamilton. He will beat Button, again. I believe that the possible increase in difficult level this year will allow Hamilton to increase his advantage over Button.

But as I said earlier on, only time will tell and in 10 months we shall know who was right. ;)
 
Logic would dictate that this year, Button will be more settled in at McLaren and will hence give Hamilton a better fight than he did last year.

Indeed, this year we should expect Button to do better than last year, relative to Hamilton. Will that be enough to beat Hamilton? Who knows, I'd expect they to be close enough to be covered by 'chance', by mechanicals, by other people hitting them etc.

As for the season - impossible to know until we know more about the cars' performance. I do expect Schumacher to beat Rosberg this year though. This is how last year panned out between them:

MSC-ROS.png


Both have a negative trend over the season - they I put down to other teams out developing Merc.
In the 2nd half of the season MSC bucks this trend and improves significantly relative to NR.

So sure, he was rusty, the car didn't suit him etc... but by mid season he was able to drive again, and with any luck we can expect the 2011 Merc to suit MSC far better. It would be a brave man to bet on NR in a NR/MSC pair.
 
So sure, he was rusty, the car didn't suit him etc... but by mid season he was able to drive again, and with any luck we can expect the 2011 Merc to suit MSC far better. It would be a brave man to bet on NR in a NR/MSC pair.

That is a very interesting graph.

At the end of the day Mercedes have made no secret that they want MSc to spearhead their team, so it is no surprise that he is gradually usurping his team-mate. Perhaps they are developing the car to MSc's liking (disregarding Rosberg's feedback). Perhaps Rosberg's mental strength and morale is being gradually worn down by Mercedes' commitment to producing a car which MSc likes. Who knows...

The real question must be whether MSc/Mercedes will have enough fire-power to take on RBR and Ferrari (who look to have produced decent cars this year) and possibly McLaren.
 
It would be a brave man to bet on NR in a NR/MSC pair.

I expect MS to do better this season than last, but I'd be very surprised if he beats Nico overall. Rosberg is a really good driver in the prime of his career. Michael is a truly great driver but in the twilight of his driving days - still better than most drivers on the grid, but no longer a world beater.
 
From an entertainment point of view, I'd love to see MSc challenging for the title. It would almost be like a Rocky film. He also seems so much cooler and more laid back now than he did when at Ferrari. I certainly wouldn't say I was a 'fan' of MSc, but the underdog/ex-champ angle is appealing.

This season is interesting as we really have no idea which car is going to be best, the rule changes, KERS, tyres etc - mean any one of at least half the field could start the season with the best car. Roll on March 11th. Kubica will be sadly missed though :(.
 
Back
Top Bottom