Football bet

Leeroy123 · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:06

Just wanted to know what you guys think about my chances on my william hill coupon. I did 9 teams to win, 6 are in so far.

* Arsenal v Wolves – 90 Minutes
* Hull v Preston – 90 Minutes
* Middlesbrough v Swansea – 90 Minutes
* Southampton v Carlisle – 90 Minutes
* Dundee v Raith Rovers – 90 Minutes
* Hamilton v Hearts – 90 Minutes
* Arsenal v Barcelona – 90 Minutes
* FC Copenhagen v Chelsea – 90 Minutes
* Marseille v Man Utd – 90 Minutes

* Arsenal @ 1/4
* Hull @ 4/6
* Swansea @ 15/8
* Southampton @ 1/2
* Dundee @ 6/5
* Hearts @ 17/20
* Barcelona @ 8/11
* Chelsea @ 8/15
* Man Utd @ EVS

* Won
* Won
* Won
* Won
* Won
* Won
* –
* –
* –

Just waiting on barcelona to beat arsenal tomorrow. chelsea to beat copenhagen next week and united to beat marseille. I get 4 grand back if it comes in, upgrade time again then maybe haha.

Sp00n · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:07

Your chances are:

* Barcelona @ 8/11
* Chelsea @ 8/15
* Man Utd @ EVS

Your welcome.

Cosimo · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:08

Try the Football Stadium:

http://forums.overclockers.co.uk/forumdisplay.php?f=121

OriginalJonty · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:19

You'll be successful all the way to the United game and then Marseille will hold United to a draw/win.

Participant · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:23

It looks good to me, you've got a good chance of bringing home the bacon on this one I think!

el_dazza · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:29

You've already got a thread in Football, don't post the same thread in 2 sections

Sp00n · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:32

el_dazza said:
You've already got a thread in Football, don't post the same thread in 2 sections

He posted it here first.

el_dazza · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:35

Sp00n said:
He posted it here first.

Still, same principle applies

Leeroy123 · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:36

i posted it in other section because someone said to. i didnt know i cant close one. sorry

el_dazza · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:39

Leeroy123 said:
i posted it in other section because someone said to. i didnt know i cant close one. sorry

It's ok, I'm sure a passing Don will lock/remove/merge said thread

As I advised already though, if you get in a position to cover yourself then I'd definately advise doing so, but depends how much you have to bet with.

If the last game is 0-0 at half-time I'd probably back the "double chance" bet and spread the 4k over both bets, that way you can't lose but are halving the potential winnings. I'd still take 2k though!

daz · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:43

You might as well play the lottery if you're going to do 9 team accumulators.

Leeroy123 · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:44

well thats not entirely true is it, this is the first one ive done with 9 teams, and im only 3 away from winning lol

daz · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:46

That's like saying "I was only 3 numbers away from winning the lottery!".

You're being offered odds of 200/1 because 199 times out of 200 your bet wouldn't have come off. (Even moreso than that, because of the bookies' overround is compounded on accumulators).

If you're going to get in to betting research the mathematics of bookmaking.

DJMK4 · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:53

I have done a few accumulators, my first one came in, £10 down, £20 free bet, 5 games, won £240, however I done another 7 or 8 accumulators (probably around 5-6 games each) during the world cup, all which I thought would be sure winners.

None of them came in.

Accumulators are hit and miss, it could all go horribly wrong at the worst of times.

daz · 15 Feb 2011 at 12:55

Just to add, the chance of a draw in professional football is usually around 25% - so the chance of there being no draws across nine matches is low enough - let alone picking the winners. It's great for a bit of fun but 9 matches is pushing your luck a bit.

Good luck to you if it comes off - but don't see this as a way of making easy money.

djcj · 15 Feb 2011 at 13:06

You should get into tennis match accumulators, that's where the money is!

Leeroy123 · 15 Feb 2011 at 13:07

Fair enough i get what your saying. well i can only hope. On paper the 3 games left i feel would come in. Next time maybe ill stick with 6/7 games. But you never know, i may still have the needed luck for this one.

norm · 15 Feb 2011 at 13:12

What was your original stake?

Chisuka · 15 Feb 2011 at 13:20

It could happen but i seriously doubt it, i like to put the occasional accumulator on and whenever i've done 9 or more teams theres always 1 team that lets me down.

Also Arsenal are gonna smash Barcelona!

cheets64 · 15 Feb 2011 at 13:23

4 Grand? How much did you put on, no doubt one team will draw