Poll: General election voting intentions poll

Voting intentions in the General Election?

  • Alliance Party of Northern Ireland

    Votes: 2 0.3%
  • Conservative

    Votes: 254 41.6%
  • Democratic Unionist Party

    Votes: 1 0.2%
  • Green Party

    Votes: 40 6.5%
  • Labour

    Votes: 83 13.6%
  • Liberal Democrat

    Votes: 31 5.1%
  • Not voting/will spoil ballot

    Votes: 38 6.2%
  • Other party (not named)

    Votes: 4 0.7%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 1 0.2%
  • Respect Party

    Votes: 1 0.2%
  • Scottish National Party

    Votes: 25 4.1%
  • Social Democratic and Labour Party

    Votes: 1 0.2%
  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 1 0.2%
  • UKIP

    Votes: 129 21.1%

  • Total voters
    611
  • Poll closed .
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Better to have and not need than need and not have surely? Then again I have no idea at what point nukes would be a viable 'need'.

Must admit unless I'm reading it wrong I don't know why it isn't staggered renewal. Spread the cost over years so it's not such a huge hit.

That might be the case if it cost £20 however it costs hundreds of billions if you do the accounting properly and factor in the govt contract overspend norm.

They may or may not be useful but they're too expensive and we should cut back on post imperial notions we can't afford.
 
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Wages are the same?

Yep. I get paid exactly the same whether I drill onshore or offshore. In the UK or in China or anywhere else in the world (there are exceptions where I might get paid more for working in a more dangerous region). It generally makes zero difference.
 
Where has the Tories that low? Where are those numbers from?

And the positive polls, from the Tory perspective, would make it possible for them to form a viable government with the support of the Lib Dems and DUP.

You do realise that you can poll well but not necessarily gain the seats, her s an analysis of all the polls converted to seats! Labour and SNP have more seats than Tory lib dem

http://may2015.com/category/seat-calculator/
 
Where has the Tories that low? Where are those numbers from?

Looks like the numbers from the May2015 model.

And the positive polls, from the Tory perspective, would make it possible for them to form a viable government with the support of the Lib Dems and DUP.

Of the evidence based models, only Elections Etc has that down as a likely result. Mind you, I'm not sure how well any of these models will hold up given how different this election looks to be compared to the prior ones. The rise of UKIP and the SNP as well as the collapse of the Lib Dem vote makes predicting how vote share will convert to seats extremely difficult. Then there's the uncertainty of the Ashcroft constituency polls; with so little of this kind of polling done in the past, it's not certain how well they will they actually predict the result in these constituencies.
 
Oh I agree. It's basically too close to call/it changes day by day. I just find it mildly irritating when partisan people jump on one published snapshot prediction and say, 'aha! see, we're going to win!' or take one poll which makes UKIP look better than the poll of polls and present that as undeniable fact :p.

Yeah, I agree. This is one of the reasons I like UK Polling Report, despite being produced by YouGov they take an extremely sensible and balanced view of the polls coming in and repeatedly warn against over-interpreting the mildest twitch of the polls.
 
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Daily Mail getting desperate. Apparently Ed Miliband has had multiple partners over his life!
 
I think it speaks volumes about the Tories that rather than try and criticize Labour's policies and manifesto pretty much their entire election campaign has consisted of nothing other than personal attacks against Miliband. Perhaps they figured if they tried to argue in favour of zero hours contracts and tax cuts for millionaires it wouldn't go down well with the electorate so they're decided to take a different approach.

And now have the usual suspect Tory rags like the Daily Fail and Torygraph parroting their vitriol.......
 
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Yeah, I agree. This is one of the reasons I like UK Polling Report, despite being produced by YouGov they take an extremely sensible and balanced view of the polls coming in and repeatedly warn against over-interpreting the mildest twitch of the polls.

I like May2015 because they explain their model and will have a comparison to the other models. Their blog will help explain differences.

I made a post earlier summarizing why may2015 have given a solid lead to labour with the most recent polls.
http://forums.overclockers.co.uk/showpost.php?p=27888614&postcount=812



Basically in the marginal seats, the ones that actually matter come may 7th, there is been a small but subtle swing to Labour.

http://forums.overclockers.co.uk/showpost.php?p=27888614&postcount=812
 
What about the demographics of OCUK makes it so right wing?

Are tech people more to the right? Do we think it's a reflection of above average incomes (I assume poorer folk aren't spending a ton on nice computers)?

Not a dig at all, just interested.
 
He got 47.3% of the vote last time - perhaps it's not so unpopular?

Yet if those 70,000 where allowed to vote for torie/lab/lib dem freely it probably would have been different,instead we have to vote for greens or ukip
 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32243680

Remember the Big Society? Well it's back on again, with Tory plans to offer employees at all public sector and large private organisations up to 3 days extra paid leave for volunteering activities. Can't help feeling the Tories would go to town on this if it were a Labour policy - what happened to cutting red tape and being business friendly?
 
It does seem a strange policy to pull out of the bag as an inticement to vote for them.

Is wanting to leave work and go volunteering for something else that popular a thing to do?
 
When is the voting day? my poll card doesnt get sent to my address im living in now, gets sent to my parents address.
 
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