I'm not offering any (other than the second part of my post; if you dig, there's statistics for how quickly Mozilla gets users to the latest, ergo more secure, version). What rigorous analysis are you offering that shows IE is targeted purely for its popularity and is less vulnerable than Firefox, or that Opera is more secure than both?
Forcing people to move versions by closing support for vunerabilities isn't exactly security minded... There are often reasons why people or companies don't want to move to a newer version.
As for analysis, I've already offered some, what are you offering in return?
Counting vulnerabilities between two closed-source vendors and an open-source vendor that basically publishes everything is hardly a fair comparison, and we've been down this path already...
I'd say it's perfectly fair, given that the nature of open source means that all vunerabilities are out there in the public to start with due to the nature of an open codebase...
This whole 'firefox is the answer to all web security problems' doesn't really offer anything to support it other than opinion, and encouraging people to switch based on an opinion that it might be more secure isn't that helpful.
The truth is that all web browsers have vunerabilities and exploits that are possible, you can close most of them by either disabling functionality (eg noscript or turning scripting off in the options), or by being aware of potential security issues. Some browsers (IE and Google Chrome) offer additional security through the use of protected mode, others like firefox do not offer similar protection (and the fact that protected mode/UAC mitigate the IE issue raised here proves their value, because code from IE cannot gain greater privileges than permitted by protected mode, which means very little can be done).
Jumping on every reported IE vunerabilitiy, which tend to make much bigger headlines than vunerabilities with the minority browsers, as a means to encourage people to jump ship to firefox isn't actually helping the web become more secure, or the user be safer.