Local elections - How to check claims?

NotAGolf

NotAGolf

NotAGolf

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I live in an area that has consistently voted in party A (I don't want to turn this into a voting intentions thread so I'm keeping it vague).

Party B has been heavily canvassing the area and have posted a lot of material over the last couple of months, and they're heavily pushing the line that they're the only party with a chance of ousting party A, implying that party C have no chance.

I've not seen or heard anything from party A or C, and I seem to recall that party C have indeed been pretty much nowhere in previous elections.

I'd quite like to know if party C does have a chance because, despite them being my preferred choice, I'd vote tactically and vote for someone else if they have no chance of getting in.

Any ideas how to check the liklihood of a certain party getting into power in your area?
 
I get mail like this too, probably everyone does, but a 2 minute fact check proves Party B are liars.

I've had fake graphs, ballot papers with crosses on, all the usual bs. At the end of the day this literature doesn't tell you anything reliable other than the person wants your vote.
 
I'm voting for party A, even though I want party C to get in I don't want to risk party B getting in.

When a party has to advertise themselves as "the best chance of getting them out" instead of "this is how we'd work for you", it doesn't give you much faith that they have a clue what they want to do or if they'll be any better at it.
 
So the previous 3 elections results were:

2011:
Party A: 53%
Party B: 24%
Party C: ??? (Doesn't show data outside the top 2)

2015:
Party A: 52%
Party B: 19%
Party C: ???

2019:
Party A: 42%
Party B: 37%
Party C: 7%

So, at least historically, their claim to be be the best bet to oust party A looks fair.


Steeps said:
When a party has to advertise themselves as "the best chance of getting them out" instead of "this is how we'd work for you", it doesn't give you much faith that they have a clue what they want to do or if they'll be any better at it.
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I agree in part, but at least I know who/what party B are proposing. I've not heard a thing from the other two.
 
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Steeps said:
When a party has to advertise themselves as "the best chance of getting them out" instead of "this is how we'd work for you", it doesn't give you much faith that they have a clue what they want to do or if they'll be any better at it.
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When an incumbent party is so awful that it's become their rivals biggest recruiting factor, it's probably time to stop fearing change.
 
Dirk Diggler said:
When an incumbent party is so awful that it's become their rivals biggest recruiting factor, it's probably time to stop fearing change.
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Except local elections are not general elections and councils behave differently with all parties being good, bad or indifferent in most councils across the land.
 
Hagar said:
Except local elections are not general elections and councils behave differently with all parties being good, bad or indifferent in most councils across the land.
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We're discussing local elections, no-one mentioned general elections. It's a local party in power that is the subject of this conversation.
 
K.C. Leblanc said:
This site basically tells you who's the strongest party that's not the Tories.

stopthetories.vote

StopTheTories.Vote

Your vote is your power. Find out how to use it tactically to Stop The Tories and influence the next government.
stopthetories.vote stopthetories.vote
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Sorry, we don't have a recommendation in this ward
Multiple progressive parties performed similarly in this ward at the last election, and we can't tell which is most likely to beat the Tories this time
:rolleyes:
 
throwaway4372 said:
Sorry, we don't have a recommendation in this ward
Multiple progressive parties performed similarly in this ward at the last election, and we can't tell which is most likely to beat the Tories this time
:rolleyes:
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Remember, beating the Tories isn't the only positive result; reducing their majority sends them a clear and powerful message that erosion is setting in.
 
NotAGolf said:
Party B has been heavily canvassing the area and have posted a lot of material over the last couple of months, and they're heavily pushing the line that they're the only party with a chance of ousting party A, implying that party C have no chance.
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This is standard operating procedure for the Lib Dems whether it is true or not.
 
Vote BNP if thats what your heart feels
National front will always be a fringe party
 
Dirk Diggler said:
We're discussing local elections, no-one mentioned general elections. It's a local party in power that is the subject of this conversation.
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Very good but the general slant is beating the Tories i see. Not 'a local party in power'. Labour is equally awful in parts.
 
Hagar said:
Very good but the general slant is beating the Tories i see. Not 'a local party in power'. Labour is equally awful in parts.
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The OP didn't want to mention the actual party, and neither have I during our exchanges.

It's you that's associated an awful party with the Tories - although to be fair, who else could it be.
 
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