Mortgage Rate Rises

Soldato
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My sisters in this predicament, she's half way through purchasing and she's really not sure whether to push the house through, worried about a housing crash.

Her mortgage offer ends in March 23.
 
Soldato
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Hard to tell really, depends on the relative price she's paying, the rate she booked and the period. For example, a 200k loan on a 5 year fix at 2% is worth about 30k over current rates, which is the equivalent of a 10-12% reduction in a 250k home.

I am personally now waiting to move. We have about £120k left on a house currently valued at £500k ish and have a 5 year fix at sub 2%. Initially we were going to do a refurb, but a 25% drop would bring more expensive houses into range. Absolutely a first world problem, but if things slide for 2 to 3 years I can save the money to move.
 
Soldato
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She's a FTB on a house of 130k. Fixed rate at 3.9% for 5 years.
She should buy imo. If she loses that mortgage offer the next one will be a higher interest rate and even on a lower house price she may not save anything at all. Historically waiting for a housing crash before purchasing has backfired, the only people who can really do that are those with cash ready to buy extra homes.
 
Soldato
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Is that something you can do without cost? I just got my first mortgage over 25yr on a 5yr fix at 2%, offer was about 6/7 months ago hence the rate.

I can overpay by 10% but not worth it at my current rate, I can earn more on cash haha.

So after my 5 years could I theoretically reduce the remaining 20yr to 15 yr without any fees and just pay more per month? I've asked people about this but never got an answer (I've only asked friends to be fair).

I did this the last time I remortgaged. I had a 5yr fixed deal which I overpaid religiously in the last 3yrs of the term meaning that I managed to reduce my mortgage by 8 yrs and my monthly payments only increased by about 30quid. The only thing I had to do was redo an affordablility test because I was reducing the term by more than 3yrs. You may have to do the same. I'm now coming to the end of my subsequent 2yr fix next April
 
Soldato
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Soldato
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She should buy imo. If she loses that mortgage offer the next one will be a higher interest rate and even on a lower house price she may not save anything at all. Historically waiting for a housing crash before purchasing has backfired, the only people who can really do that are those with cash ready to buy extra homes.
Yes, I agree, it's a fairly cheap property to begin with coupled with a reasonably good interest rate. Even a 10-20% drop in prices over the next year isn't the end of the world at that price range, and I doubt very much at the end of her fixed rate she'll be in negative equity unless something massive happens.
 
Soldato
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My sisters in this predicament, she's half way through purchasing and she's really not sure whether to push the house through, worried about a housing crash.

Her mortgage offer ends in March 23.
If she’s going to live in the property for a while, the value dropping doesn’t matter (it’ll pick up again) and as long as she can afford a few more % there’s no issue with affordability.

She should continue IMO
 
Soldato
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As I posted earlier, I don't see how it could be anything less than 20pc,

You look at the price of houses in the midlands, and you need a damn salary of over £120k a year or a 40 year mortgage, to get the affordability down to 30% of monthly take home pay.

Looking at mortgage monthly payments of close to £1.8k-£2k a month for a normal house in the middle of the country, it's like more expensive than renting in London..

What are you classing as a "normal house" and "the Midlands", because to get to your quoted £1.8-£2k/month, that's a £450k house @ 6% with 10% deposit on a 30 year term

Round here, that would get you a 5-6 bed semi, or a very nice 3-4 bed detached with a huge garden. Assuming you're talking about FTB (since otherwise they should have some equity in their current property), then that's not exactly a "normal house" for most people.

A "normal house" for most FTB would be a 2-3 bed terrace, of which plenty are available around the £150k mark, which is "only" £640/month @ 6% with 10% deposit over 30 years. Yes it's still pretty expensive compared to recent years, but still under the 30% for someone on the average UK salary (various sources seem to put this between £26-32k)
 
Soldato
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Saw the headline article from zoopla
I couldn't see it, they have an article about rates falling in 2023 but if you read it.

'Mortgage rates are expected to fall to 4-5% next year and this is likely to be the new norm. The days of ultra cheap money are now behind us'

 
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