• Competitor rules

    Please remember that any mention of competitors, hinting at competitors or offering to provide details of competitors will result in an account suspension. The full rules can be found under the 'Terms and Rules' link in the bottom right corner of your screen. Just don't mention competitors in any way, shape or form and you'll be OK.

Nvidia GTC16 Webcast Live Stream@5pm/9am PDT *Jen looks great in leather.*

Soldato
Joined
25 Nov 2011
Posts
20,645
Location
The KOP
Everything is falling nicely into AMDs favour here.
Leading DirectX12, leading VR and now looking at dropping GPUs before the competition.

This could all come back to bite nvidia on the back side.
 
Caporegime
Joined
18 Oct 2002
Posts
33,188
I'm sceptic myself. 15B transistors and only 2TFLOPS more than a Fury X.
HBM2 and Finfet, and still more TDP than a GM200

Pascal is a HPC(FP64) and deep learning(FP16) architecture. FP32(gaming) is the unfortunate casualty in improvements. They've moved to a architecture of shaders that can work together as FP64 or push 2 FP16 instructions through one shader. This has meant a very small overall increase in core count and FP32 throughput. But a really very very large increase in FP16/FP64 throughput.

It is perfectly possible that Nvidia manage to push through a bunch of optimisations for gaming using FP16 rather than 32. In the past there was a noticeable quality increase on many effects moving from 16 to 32bit, but some things can probably be done a little faster in FP16. Though how much and how the gpu delegates these tasks is yet to be seen.


It's still looking to me to be Q1 2017(wouldn't be shocked to see this slip a little) for professional GP100, 3-4 months later for Titan, 3-4 months later for a cheaper Ti version of it.


What that means for other cards... I wouldn't read too much into any link. Where as GK104 was what, around the time the professional GK110 was available, they were similar cards, gddr5, same process, same packaging. This time GP100 packaging/memory is so different I wouldn't link their time frames.

It's also possible that Nvidia could make a fairly different GP104, I don't automatically think they will but they could design a different consumer card with more shaders and less shader flexibility, IE optimised for FP32, more shaders in the same die size and more gaming performance.
 
Soldato
Joined
19 Dec 2010
Posts
12,069
lol really? half the folks in the Pascal thread were creaming themselves over an imminent X70/X80 launch, with HBM, x2 980ti performance and all for £300 lol.

I did try to tell String and Simon that It would be June. They both seemed to think that it was a dead cert that Nvidia were going to announce Pascal today and be able to order it.

I don't think too many of the others in thread were expecting a launch or much information, but, I do think everyone, including me, was hoping for a little teaser today about the consumer cards.
 
Caporegime
Joined
18 Oct 2002
Posts
33,188
No they didn't. Nvidia were late with Tesla cards. They missed their contract date with Oakridge for their super computer, only managing to fill the order in September 2012, 5 months after the release of the 680/670.

In the interim they released the K10 which was around May 2012, I think.

The Quadro line of cards didn't appear until October 2012.

Jesus, the professional cards with GK110 came months before the consumer cards using GK110.

http://www.anandtech.com/show/6446/nvidia-launches-tesla-k20-k20x-gk110-arrives-at-last

They also weren't late, K20 only launched late in 2012. Nvidia went for a mid sized core first then a big core, it was intentional for the big core to come later. Not likely that much later but it really wasn't late. We only got information about GP100, I was quite clearly talking about when you would sensibly see a Titan based off it, not when the first consumer Pascal would appear.
 
Last edited:

bru

bru

Soldato
Joined
21 Oct 2002
Posts
7,359
Location
kent
Good show, disappointing not to see any consumer level info, but such is life, we can now wait for Computex to see what is said there.

On the subject of volume production now, please correct me if I'm wrong, but don't these chips actually take many months (six?) to bake at TSMC and other fabs. If so then they probably are in production now, by the time they are ready the HBM2 should be ready and then they can start putting it all together.

Also did he say when he first mentioned the Tesla P100 that it was several Pascal P100 dies stacked on top of each other? as I could have sworn that is what he said.
 
Soldato
Joined
4 Feb 2006
Posts
3,228
AMD have working cards which have been demoed yet no info at all about pascal performance or architecture. I'm sure most companies release some bits of info well before any launch.

It's either because Nvidia don't have anything to reveal just yet or they are waiting for AMD to show their hand so that they can try and make sure they can beat them, a bit like the FuryX launch.
 
Caporegime
Joined
18 Oct 2002
Posts
33,188
4-8 weeks in production usually, depends on the complexity and number of layers. 6 weeks is about average for a complex chip. I expect they might be in volume production... but volume can be anything. I'm pretty much expecting they will have utterly dire yields, ludicrously low availability and trickle out a couple of boxes. That they will only give their biggest customers availability in Q1/2017 really highlights when Nvidia believe yields/production will be viable for decent profits and volume.
 
Caporegime
Joined
20 May 2007
Posts
39,928
Location
Surrey
lol really? half the folks in the Pascal thread were creaming themselves over an imminent X70/X80 launch, with HBM, x2 980ti performance and all for £300 lol.

No they weren't. Stop exaggerating :p

I don't think anyone expected an April launch! I also don't think they will release much/if any info much before launch either so as not to kill sales.

I they don't mention Pascal at Computex though, then yes a Q2 release looks very unlikely.
 
Soldato
Joined
30 Nov 2011
Posts
11,358
No, its 6-8 weeks generally to go from a blank wafer to packaged chips - a complete product launch to have enough completed cards to start selling takes at least 3 months and then you need to ship them so if using containers another 4-6 weeks
 
Caporegime
Joined
18 Oct 2002
Posts
33,188
AMD have working cards which have been demoed yet no info at all about pascal performance or architecture. I'm sure most companies release some bits of info well before any launch.

It's either because Nvidia don't have anything to reveal just yet or they are waiting for AMD to show their hand so that they can try and make sure they can beat them, a bit like the FuryX launch.

There is a decent amount of information on the Pascal architecture from the link someone put up earlier. They've given shaders per SM, number of SMs and some fairly detailed numbers, number of registers, number of threads, clock speeds/performance for GP100. Assuming that Pascal is the same up and down the range in base design then that is a lot of Pascal architecture info. It's heavily FP64/FP16 performance increase focused and FP32 performance increase is pretty painfully low.
 
Caporegime
Joined
20 May 2007
Posts
39,928
Location
Surrey
AMD have working cards which have been demoed yet no info at all about pascal performance or architecture. I'm sure most companies release some bits of info well before any launch.

It's either because Nvidia don't have anything to reveal just yet or they are waiting for AMD to show their hand so that they can try and make sure they can beat them, a bit like the FuryX launch.

Nvidia will not give us any hint at perf/price much if at all before launch as that just kills current sales.

Even AMD's Polaris info was pretty sparse and hasn't given us much to go on.

I don't think Nvidia officially revealed anything about Maxwell 970/980 before launch. I think even the release date was up in the air and only rumoured until it happened
 
Caporegime
Joined
18 Oct 2002
Posts
33,188
No they weren't. Stop exaggerating :p

I don't think anyone expected an April launch! I also don't think they will release much/if any info much before launch either so as not to kill sales.

I they don't mention Pascal at Computex though, then yes a Q2 release looks very unlikely.

A very large number of people on the Pascal thread were arguing the toss over stupid rumours/info from November about an April launch and they have been for months.
 
Back
Top Bottom