PS Vita will fail

[Nexus]

Which is all well and good, if you assume the market is a fixed size, but it's clearly not. It's massively grown.

In its lifetime, the Game Boy (and Color) sold nearly 120 million units. Over 12 years. In the three years the GBA existed, it sold 80 million units. The DS has sold 150 million in 7 years. During which time the internet has happily coexisted with it.

As I already said in this thread, those sales largely predate the rise of the smart phones and app stores.

The DS was huge because it also catered to a new audience, in particular older people and women. It was because of games like Brain Training and Sudoku, which you can now get on smart devices.

When I bought my DS when I used to commute it was before the iPod Touch was released, which had no games at the time anyway because there was no app store.

The market has changed significantly. The most desired products are smart phones and tablets, and as another poster already pointed out, this is what you see people using now.

I'm not saying the Vita doesn't have a place, I just think it won't be quite as successful as they are hoping. If anything I think it's going to end up largely being sold to the 'original' market which is kids and teens.

 

[The Running Man]

Which is all well and good, if you assume the market is a fixed size, but it's clearly not. It's massively grown.

In its lifetime, the Game Boy (and Color) sold nearly 120 million units. Over 12 years. In the three years the GBA existed, it sold 80 million units. The DS has sold 150 million in 7 years. During which time the internet has happily coexisted with it.

Him but smart phones capable of full net access and gaming have only been around for a year or two. During which time we have seen the 3ds launch and fail to meet its targets. The ds had no competitor other than the PSP.

The market did expand and captured the female and older Gen market for sure
But you can play games like nintendogs or happy feet on the phone just as well as you can on the ds. Same with brain training and mobile soduku...

 

[dokko]

It's got its work cut out but I think it will do ok, nothing spectacular, probably somewhere in-between the original psp success and the failure of the Go.

As said apps and mobile devices are so strong it's hard to compete, plus (as already said) the quality sale never actually matches the product, it won't be a ps3 in your hand, if it is it has a very good chance of doing well.

Also as always Sony just haven't brought on the design enough, looks like a psp from release date, people want something new, something different.

Pre-order sales are very poor in the Uk so far.