Soldato
- Joined
- 29 Jun 2005
- Posts
- 4,771
- Location
- London
I think that your numbers are a bit out there, it's only some countries where demand is outstripping supply, so with the correct redistribution, the problem would be a fair bit less than you are assuming. I'm not going to even attempt to cite specific suppliers who could be suitable for the job, it's not my market and I'm not going to pretend to know which niche manufacturers fit the bill.Demon said:Unless I'm wrong, Nintendo are producing over a million a month, thus to outstrip demand, we are talking lets say 0.5 to 0.75 million extra a month?
Just tell me any 'supplier' that has that capacity that can be brought on line in 5 months?
Well see above about the numbers involved, but either way there would certainly be inflated setup costs, however, considering the popularity of the system, Nintendo would likely be willing to accept that to a point, because the profits from the additional sales would outstrip the extra production costs.Demon said:I believe from my experience, that we are talking a top end supplier's total capacity required for those figures.. and then tell me they wouldn't want serious setup costs and/or inflated unit prices with some serious contract in place.. they aren't going to empty their factory just to produce Wii's for a short term contract unless it's for the right price, and I imagine that wouldn't look good on the Nintendo profit plan.
In fact, it's likely that the more systems they need to meet demand, the more flexible they'd be with their profit margins.
Agreed.Demon said:And they aren't going to use 'several' suppliers with smaller quantities on short term contracts either, that's going to be multiple setup costs, higher unit costs, quality issues, etc, etc, I'm sure MS and SONY never do this either..
But if they were to grant a short term contract, then the market later went belly up, they would have the option of reigning in production at their own factories until they'd shifted the remaining units from the contracted supplier.Demon said:Then of course there's the risk element, the analysts have no idea if it's a fad or whether it will continue, it's caught people by surprise, so I imagine Nintendo are not willing to take the risk of investing enough for a complete 'factories' worth of production to be made available..
I'd say that Nintendo have maximised the production facilities they already have and won't commit to more suppliers due to a combination of the management of several suppliers, increased unit cost and the lack of a good low risk sales forecast.
It'd be more expensive, but if managed properly, the reduction in profit margin would be minimal.
I don't see it as mis-managed at all, I see it as entirely planned and exquisitely executed marketing. Granted, the initial sales figures were completely unexpected to everyone, including Nintendo, but they reacted swiftly and manipulated the hype absolutely flawlessly.Demon said:I really don't see this as mis managed to the degree you do, I think you are applying black and white rules to the situation based on SCM knowledge, when it's partly very high volume SCM and partly an uncertain sales forecast.