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The price of graphics cards will continue to tank and will stay low for at least 2 years - Here's why

I'm on the Go tariff and never questioned if I have an electric car or not. Just sign up.

It's just marketed as good for those with an electric car but when I started GPU mining and looking at costs the 4 hours at at 5p per hour helped reduce the total average cost. For some reason my Go tariff just rolled over through the price increases so far so I'm hoping it does the same when the term ends in January.

Their terms and conditions state that you need either an EV or a plug in hybrid:


They introduced the EV / Hybrid requirement not that long ago so if you were already on GO then you are probably fine but I have heard they are asking for proof of a home charger for some new customers. It would be super easy for them to tell if you had an EV / Hybrid or not as you would probably be regularly using between 3.6KW or 7KW between 12:30 and 4:30 at least once a week. They state they can change you over to a different tariff if they think you don't have an EV / Hybrid.
 
I don't understand why people are fixing electricity for 12 months at rates that will be above the next variable rate cap.

My unit rate went from 19.77p to 28.22p in April. People here are contemplating fixing at rates well over double that?

I've not heard anyone saying they would be fixing at over 60p? Prices will probably exceed that in less than a year though.
 
Predictions can change but the KWh price of electricity is predicted to reach 51 p/kWh by the end of the year.


Prices are then predicted to rise a further 19% in January which would bring the unit price of electricity to 60.69p.

That could be wrong. But I am willing to bet that it will be right, hence why I fixed at 40p KWh.

Without Government assistance 60.69p a KWh will be ruinous for many many families. GPU's will be one of the last things on their minds.
 
People make predictions about everything. Anyone telling me they can predict a commodities/financial market, better be someone who puts money where their mouth is.

As for 40p, it definitely going to at least that unless the wholesale price of electricity plunges in the next month, that doesn't require a prediction as the price is already that high. Beyond the next review people are just guessing.

Yeah but they are not just plucking random numbers out of the air. Cornwall Insight seem to have a good record for their predictions being close to accurate.

What is likely to happen before the end of the year that will cause energy prices to fall? The war in Ukraine to end? Seems unlikely. European countries choosing to buy Russian gas again. Unlikely. Even if wholesale energy prices were to fall, you just know that it will take ages, if at all, for consumers to see any reductions on their bills.
 
It's easer to predict what is happening in the next review. It is literally happening now using information available now.

Just googling their prediction for the last cap.


They predicted £1660.


It was actually £1971.

Like I said, try and predict commodities or financial markets at your own peril.

That prediction was made in October 2021, before the Ukraine war started. What could you imagine happening before January next year that could cause wholesale energy prices to tumble and for those price decreases to be passed on to the consumer. The price consumers pay is only going one way between now and next year and it isn't down.
 
The prediction was 4 months out from the actual review. Not even a year.

That's a very misleading statement. Everyone knows the price is going up October, that is a certainty. However, if you think you know what the price will be relative to October 22, next year then you you are blind to what you don't know.

I suppose you know what oil prices will be next year as well?

I don't 'know' what the price will be next year, but the odds of it being more expensive than it will be in October seem to be high. Between now and January no one is predicting a price drop. There doesn't seem to be any global news or events that might cause the price to drop. Even if it were to drop, consumers would not see a price reduction between now and early next year. Is it possible prices will drop or stop increasing? Yes. Is it likely, I don't think so.
 
So what that is saying is that low to mid range GPUs won't be selling, and maybe get price cuts, but the enthusiast grade GPUs favoured by people on this forum might not be effected as much. By which I mean the people that are NOT looking for the best bang for buck may have loads of money and just continue buying cards priced >£300.

How many people, even those who buy at the top end of GPU's, will still be happy to buy very expensive GPU's when it costs over £120 a month just to run a tumble drier? When it costs over £50 a month just to have a 15 minute shower every morning? Those prices are the prices I will be paying when my tariff changes next month to 40p KWh. Many people will be paying more than that come October. There will always be rich folk who will pay high prices, but those people are a tiny minority and Nvidia is in the business of shifting hundreds of thousands of GPU's if not millions.
 
I've got thermal vests and happily sit in a 10c room anyway. I embrace the cold, why do people need a constant 20c? your body acclimatises.

even in the winter I'll just wear a Tshirt under my coat outside, sure you feel freezing for the first 10 minutes but then your body starts burning fat or whatever to keep you warm

You are a hard man though. Most people aren't as hard as you.
 
Auxilione is predicting that electricity will cost 87p per KWh by April 2023.


So 3 hours of gaming a day on a 500w PC will cost about £40 a month.

Two 15 minute showers a day will cost £110 a month.

Using a tumble dryer for an hour a day will cost £122.55 a month.

Plus add on all your other energy usage.

AMD and Nvidia will no doubt have their halo products priced high but their mid range will have to be very cheap if they want to turn a profit this generation in this economic climate.
 
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