Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)

200sols said:
Doesn't seem very diverse that is all.
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yea but I don't want to invest in something that is outside of one of my hobbies that I wont keep up to date on naturally.

if I were doing that I would just go all in on index funds or whatever.
it's more of a hobby than wealth management in my case anyway.
 
I'm still buying monthly and I bought lump more at 720.... Long term hold in my SIPP so happy to keep buying

arknor said:
I should have plowed into SMT when it was under 750 but banks like lloyds/barclays whomever it is with the pod cast were saying it's going to keep going down, just buy a little each month :mad:
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Not really sure what to do at the moment. Trying to resist buying.

Over time I've learnt my best successes are doing buys at opportunist moments.

This still feels like day to day movements.


To my amateur view it seems like things have stabilised, but can't help but think that stability is premature
 
413x said:
To my amateur view it seems like things have stabilised, but can't help but think that stability is premature
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yea 've been thinking the same when looking at 1year and 3 month charts.

seems like most things were going mostly side ways and then up recently but how long will that last is anyone's guess.

The next FED meeting is a week away so I'm tempted to cut back 50% before then and lock in some profits in preparation for any potential dip.

actually I just did that right now on a bunch of stuff and cut down my AMD a bit.
keeping all my INTC for the dividend and chips act will probably pass
 
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Kanpai said:
@TOW did you have any positions open on gold sells in the last 30 minutes? How did the algo behave?
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Yes, strong day overall today, a longer open buy bucket closed out too, so closed equity today was very strong:
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And it just entered a couple of new sell orders.
 
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Same here I sold everything end of last years and have a big pot of cash doing nothing.... Waiting for a sign, but now as mortgage rates are creeping up it's a decision to pay that off or hope the markets/world gets its confidence back.
I would have been 22%worse off if I had sat on everything and crossed my fingers so for that small short term mercy I'm thankful.
Longer term investments remain locked away being chipped and battered....
Got really spoilt by the rise of the tech bubble post COVID. That paid half my new house and furbish it... Was a lucky time for an idiot to have a flutter on the stock market.
 
mid_gen said:
Here comes the pullback for anyone that was worried they'd missed the bottom!

Keep calm and keep DCAing.
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The short up-trend was the pullback, we’re still bearish overall for a good few months yet.

We have a lower point to reach before a notable overall market trend change IMO.

The triple EMA cross was a manipulation move to liquidate retail traders, IMO.

NFA, I’m wrong sometimes.

For Gold / XAUUSD specifically, I am predicting at least low 1600s, possibly mid-high 1500s and worst case in my analysis, we will bounce off the massive support in 1400s range. It’s usually has links to the primary currency pairs trends, specifically linked to their value against USD.

IMO we’re only 30-50% of the way into this new recession and the real pain will hit when the real estate funding bubble bursts again… we already have clear warning signs with non-income assessed 0% mortgages re-emerging. I was quite surprised to see them return, if assumed they had been banned after the 2008 fiasco, but clearly I assumed wrongly.

I’m expecting downtrend focused ranging until a big market influencer happens, sub-prime mortgages being a big factor. I don’t expect that bubble to pop until mid-2023 to early-2024.
 
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Opened up the app this morning..... Shut down very quickly and cursed my easyJet holdings.....Airport managers are now worse than Tory's :)
 
very positive week ,only yesterday that everything didn't turn green ftse tracker did well all week ,my ftse all world dipped a little yesterday but again well up and as I have said before mine is unhedged and in dollars, obviously the dollar has been very strong
only posting out of interest not selling my haystacks any time soon

Buffett made his stance plain and clear:

“If you like spending 6-8 hours per week working on investments, do it. If you don’t, then dollar-cost average into index funds. This accomplishes diversification across assets and time, two very important things.”
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I like that someone thinks Intel can turn around here. They are paying TSM many billions to use their best production and also building their own facilities . Also politics wise they have some bill going through after August recess maybe.
On a graph $35 to 47 this area is low volume, I'd hope we hold 35 then target 47. Over a decade it appears a low traffic area so easier to traverse presumably. Possibly a good trade presuming we are able to head upwards, I think tech is justified in world growth. The majority of INTC earnings are outside USA which means stronger dollar adjusts earnings downwards perhaps, depending on how they do their books.




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Bonds are bigger waves then shares for sure, might be the most important clip Ive seen as to markets direction.
Gold moved down a lot but I guess its historically going to do that, its a capital reserve. To continue to be bullish in its standard decade time frame, its got to hold above that last set of peaks or prices from the years about 2011 or 2012.
$1600 to $1800 is the prior batch of high prices, standard target to hold as a low however rough events are near term; ditto Intel holding onto at least some prior gains is some quiet positive (presuming the macro bullish case is a fair take etc.)
 
silversurfer said:
I like that someone thinks Intel can turn around here. They are paying TSM many billions to use their best production and also building their own facilities . Also politics wise they have some bill going through after August recess maybe.
On a graph $35 to 47 this area is low volume, I'd hope we hold 35 then target 47. Over a decade it appears a low traffic area so easier to traverse presumably. Possibly a good trade presuming we are able to head upwards, I think tech is justified in world growth. The majority of INTC earnings are outside USA which means stronger dollar adjusts earnings downwards perhaps, depending on how they do their books.
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There's a 50 billion USD incentive package going through to try and bring semiconductor manufacturing back to the USA, Intel is poised to break ground on several new fabs.

I think they're just a lower risk semiconductor stock compared to the likes of nVidia and AMD (although I will buy up more AMD). They're committed to a healthy dividend so even if the price flounders a bit it'll beat a savings account. I've almost got my target amount of INTC now anyway so will start accumulating something else.
 
I keep forgetting my etfs pay dividends quarterly ,£800 i didn't know about not a fortune but will have a think about where to put it ,i like etfs so within Vanguard this is the choice
 
moon man said:
I keep forgetting my etfs pay dividends quarterly ,£800 i didn't know about not a fortune but will have a think about where to put it ,i like etfs so within Vanguard this is the choice
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Surely it depends on the rest of your portfolio, your risk profile and investment horizon?

If you’re looking for dividends rather than accumulation, then the All World High Dividend Yield might be a good option? It’s 100% shares*, so you might consider it too risky? It’s All World but you might prefer a UK or US-focused fund?

For my S&S ISA, I’m all-in on the “Developed World ex-U.K. Equity Index Fund - Accumulation”

But that’s because reinvesting is right for me at the moment, I’ve got plenty of exposure to the UK elsewhere I my portfolio, the fees are low and I’m comfortable with a *relatively* high level of risk.

But what’s right for me might not be right for your situation.

*edit: wrote bonds instead of stocks.
 
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Yes it's going back in to etfs but mine don't reinvest automatically so opens up more options , quite a big UK bias so may do vwrl again ,for me the dividends are a perk vuke pays around 4.33 percent according to morning star
 
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As a relative beginner / inexperienced investor, what are peoples general thoughts on index tracker funds? Im looking at diverting my mortgage overpayments to them instead as ive just fixed at 2.39% for the next 10 years and thinking i could do far better then that through investing rather than overpaying what i have been for the last X years of my mortgage ~£500 per month.
 
Syla5 said:
As a relative beginner / inexperienced investor, what are peoples general thoughts on index tracker funds? Im looking at diverting my mortgage overpayments to them instead as ive just fixed at 2.39% for the next 10 years and thinking i could do far better then that through investing rather than overpaying what i have been for the last X years of my mortgage ~£500 per month.
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VWRP /done
 
I opened a Vanguard Stock ISA, put in £100 to open it to start off with and bought VUSA. I just notice that it only used £67 of the amount with £33 sitting as cash. Does it not buy it like regular Index Fund?
 
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