Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)
- Thread starter mcast123
- Start date
It depends on Trump's whims. I heard the full tariffs above 10% aren't coming into effect until the 9th of April. Whether he cancels them before then is anyone's guess.
WSJ was estimating $3.1Tn wiped off US shares.
So a good time to buy?
Not yet, we're far from the bottom.
Iv not done anything like this before.i assume you would select a few companies and use a trading platfom like trading212 to purchase at a low point ..wait for any recovery then sell them off ?.
How much money would be a reasonable start to split across a few different companies with potential to make money
no one will really know the effect until earnings dates start coming, people might think the bottom is in but then at an earnings call a company gets hammered
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Soldato
- Joined
- 24 Sep 2007
- Posts
- 5,331
You're thinking right, buy on the dips, but you want to analyse over a longer time frame, e.g. a quarter, rather than a few days. I think things will keep getting worse in the near term, so you want to build funds up ready for when the recovery begins, looking on a longer timeframe, e.g. monthly or quarterly chart.
Feeling very relieved that I re-jigged my portfolio last month into defence, gold and a more global presence as I realised it was heavily US tech weighted.
Let’s see what today brings but I suspect it will be painful. A great opportunity to come, but this will be painful in the short term.
Let’s see what today brings but I suspect it will be painful. A great opportunity to come, but this will be painful in the short term.
Not sure watching this video will influence on how any of you are organising your dealings but worth a watch h on my opinion no matter how much you're investing?
If these tariffs stick, and don't just get ended on a whim next week, we are a long way from the bottom.
This is just a daily blip so far, we have the full panic, fear, capitulation cycle to go through yet.
I'm holding 80% cash right now. May keep trickling into Intel, but otherwise gonna sit tight.
There is literally zero upside for US markets for the foreseeable future.
This is just a daily blip so far, we have the full panic, fear, capitulation cycle to go through yet.
I'm holding 80% cash right now. May keep trickling into Intel, but otherwise gonna sit tight.
There is literally zero upside for US markets for the foreseeable future.
Given the way he announced all this I cant see him undoing these tariffs anytime soon. Basically everyone is shooting in the dark here because it really is unprecedented stuff, at least in over 100 years nobody has seen anything like it. Of course the US was priced for perfection which leaves it more vulnerable for massive falls on any shocks.
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JP Morgan now saying a global recession is now 60% likely, up from 40%. Make of that what you will. One old man causing so much chaos, crazy.
''In a note to clients yesterday, which according to Bloomberg was titled "There will be blood", Bruce Kasman, chief economist at the bank, said the odds of a recession were up by 20% - from 40% to 60%.
He also called the tariffs the largest tax hike on US households and businesses since 1968.
"The effect of this tax hike is likely to be magnified - through retaliation, a slide in US business sentiment, and supply chain disruptions," Kasman wrote.
The economist noted that the tariffs were a "substantial macroeconomic shock".
''In a note to clients yesterday, which according to Bloomberg was titled "There will be blood", Bruce Kasman, chief economist at the bank, said the odds of a recession were up by 20% - from 40% to 60%.
He also called the tariffs the largest tax hike on US households and businesses since 1968.
"The effect of this tax hike is likely to be magnified - through retaliation, a slide in US business sentiment, and supply chain disruptions," Kasman wrote.
The economist noted that the tariffs were a "substantial macroeconomic shock".
Soldato
- Joined
- 25 Nov 2007
- Posts
- 5,581
- Location
- London
Remortgage the home!With what!
