Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)

I was wondering if anyone had any advice about when they would reccomend to buy shares in BP. I've never bought shares before but I want to buy a few in them and based on some of your experiences of dealing stocks in the past I wondered if you'd buy now or wait till the decision about dividends on Monday or the meeting with Obama on Wednesday.
 
buy now or wait till the decision about dividends on Monday or the meeting with Obama on Wednesday.
So you want some BP shares. You want to buy at the right time to ensure that your investment doesn't suddenly drop and instead grows as much as possible - fair enough, it's what everyone wants!

The news on Monday and Wednesday can affect the share price of BP. If the news is negative, it will likely drop, and if the news is positive, it will likely rise.

The choice you make is on whether you think the news is positive or negative. It is somewhat of an unknown. There are schools of thought that argue that not paying the dividend would be a serious mistake and that it will get paid, and others that say pressure from the American government in an attempt to save face will result in it not being paid. The situation is that nobody knows for sure, and so the market has placed the share price at the correct odds. It is high enough to reflect the likelihood of a dividend being paid, but not so high that it is 100% priced in - positive news could cause another rise, but negative news could create a larger fall if the market believes it is more likely that the news will be positive.

If the result of a decision was predictable with near 100% certainty, then the effect that the decision would have on the share price would already be in place, as people who are buying the shares at a lower price with the view to get a return when the price rises on the result of a decision, will cause the share price to rise. This will continue until the point where the share price is as high as it will be on result of the news.

So, back to your situation. Buying before or after the news affects your entry point. Whenever you are investing you want this to be as low as possible. It may not be the lowest it goes, but it maximises the future profit potential.
 
So you want some BP shares. You want to buy at the right time to ensure that your investment doesn't suddenly drop and instead grows as much as possible - fair enough, it's what everyone wants!

The news on Monday and Wednesday can affect the share price of BP. If the news is negative, it will likely drop, and if the news is positive, it will likely rise.

The choice you make is on whether you think the news is positive or negative. It is somewhat of an unknown. There are schools of thought that argue that not paying the dividend would be a serious mistake and that it will get paid, and others that say pressure from the American government in an attempt to save face will result in it not being paid. The situation is that nobody knows for sure, and so the market has placed the share price at the correct odds. It is high enough to reflect the likelihood of a dividend being paid, but not so high that it is 100% priced in - positive news could cause another rise, but negative news could create a larger fall if the market believes it is more likely that the news will be positive.

If the result of a decision was predictable with near 100% certainty, then the effect that the decision would have on the share price would already be in place, as people who are buying the shares at a lower price with the view to get a return when the price rises on the result of a decision, will cause the share price to rise. This will continue until the point where the share price is as high as it will be on result of the news.

So, back to your situation. Buying before or after the news affects your entry point. Whenever you are investing you want this to be as low as possible. It may not be the lowest it goes, but it maximises the future profit potential.

Thank you for your advice
 
I would only consider buying BP shares if I was prepared to hold them for the long term (more than 2 years) or I was putting in a small enough amount of money that it wouldn't upset me at all to lose it. Even then I would consider it a risky investment.

I have a mixed portfolio (risk wise) but I won't be going near BP or any share which can be easily and heavily affected by politics.
 
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None of them make it difficult to buy shares :D

Users here are on:
TDwaterhouse
iii
x-o?

The last being the cheaper option. Personally I use TD.
 
Don't forget Diablo 3.

IMO it is bound to rise based on the sales of these 2 games, aswell as the long term cash flow WoW generates.

However I would have bought it earlier this year, before the public anticipation of these 2 releases.
 
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I see that BP dropped down to 295 today, the lowest yet but its gone back upto 391 at the moment..

There is no trading on a Saturday, the price will not change today.

Notice the 'as of 16:35:17' on the page you linked to, that refers to close of play yesterday.
 
Got ARM at 236, its now 289 :)

Thank you Apple thank you.. Instead of buying your stuff i'll invest in the people that make you stuff ;)
 
ARM always seemed expensive to me but turns out they were cheap compared to now.

They dont actually make anything just design chips which are very power efficent for their size apparently.

They made the archimedes also apparently, something like 90% of smart phones pay arm royalities for their design

Any other good uk tech companies ? I dont think we have that many, intel is relatively cheap I think a good target is $25 I sold in april for 23
Slightly ironic that a tech forum is more interested in oil explorers :o
 
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