UEFA Champions & Europa League Football Thread ** spoilers ** [16th - 18th Feb 2021]

[Somnambulist]

Not that inspiring so far. I know the offside flag made it irrelevant but Odegaard has to shoot there and not try to win the unselfishness award by passing it inside the six yard box (which then got blocked).

Opposition don’t look all that, which obviously means we’ll give them a goal at some point.

 

[Somnambulist]

LOL yup

 

[Somnambulist]

Sakaaaaaaa

Got the away goal... in a neutral venue.

 

[CliffyG]

Should be beating this team really. Been quite a dull game.

 

[robfosters]

Tie should be well and truly over already

 

[Somnambulist]

Typical EL Thursday night stuff really! Both sides have played like it’s an away game (which it is I guess).

Auba could have had a hat trick but looked like he used his goals quota up at the weekend, hopefully the subs can do something different but it’s one of those I’ll just be glad nobody is injured and hope they’ll win the home game (although is that being played in London given Benfica didn’t play at their gaff?).

 

[omnomnom]

This is a poor result for Arsenal. They should be beating Benfica

 

[Somnambulist]

Proper meh that. Got the feeling nobody wanted to go full pelt as there’s City next in the league at the weekend. If they’re that dull again and don’t get gifted another penalty we should be alright in the home game.

 

[explicit4u]

Should be thrashing them, fully expected this tie to be over in the first leg.

Only positive is Tierney and Martinelli getting some minutes, City next....

 

[adam cool dude]

Should be thrashing them, fully expected this tie to be over in the first leg.

Only positive is Tierney and Martinelli getting some minutes, City next....

How so The xg for the game was 1.1 to 1.3 so the result seems fair. Plus Benfica actually had more shots on target. Arsenal are also sitting 10th in the league.

 

[omnomnom]

Does the XG take into account Aubameyang missing from 6 yards out?

You can't solely use XG when looking at a result. Not only that I think the poster is suggesting they should be battering the likes of Benfica which really they should be.

 

[BaZ87]

Does the XG take into account Aubameyang missing from 6 yards out?

Of course it does.

xG simply looks at the quality of chances a side has and shows you the likelihood that they will result in a goal. It doesn't record attacks that breakdown without a shot at the end of them though. For example if a side has a 3 v 1 break, to most people that would be considered a good chance but if the final pass gets overhit and no shot happens at the end of the move it won't be recorded on the xG.

It's probably far too much work for the twitter stattos but clubs are able to tell you the xG not just of a shot but they can tell you the likelihood of a goal being scored, based on the positions of the players on the pitch, at any point of the game. Using that 3 v 1 break, they'll be able to say that the xG is x and if the player in possession played y pass it would increase/decrease to by this much. Obviously the data is far less useful the further you go back the pitch, with the xG getting smaller and smaller, but they could even tell you the xG based at the point of a goal kick.