Unusual deaths

But what about probability. I mean I understand that the actual events the odds are always the same but the chance of getting something is affected by what came before it(?).

For example if I was on roulette and it had landed on black twice would you not put money on red the next time, or would it truly not matter? Would it still be 50/50 given what has come before? I don't think you would make much money if you don't take into account past turns.
 
Hostile17 said:
For example if I was on roulette and it had landed on black twice would you not put money on red the next time, or would it truly not matter? Would it still be 50/50 given what has come before? I don't think you would make much money if you don't take into account past turns.
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Yes, still 50/50 (or actually slightly less because of the green squares).

If you were to gamble on the assumption that "red hasn't come up for 3 turns now" I think you'd find yourself losing a lot of money.
 
Hostile17 said:
But what about probability. I mean I understand that the actual events the odds are always the same but the chance of getting something is affected by what came before it(?).

For example if I was on roulette and it had landed on black twice would you not put money on red the next time, or would it truly not matter? Would it still be 50/50 given what has come before? I don't think you would make much money if you don't take into account past turns.
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If I owned a casino you could come to it any time you liked, fella. Are you really serious here?
 
hostile you dont seem to differentiate at your view point from the probability.

consecutive probability is different to that of individual events, which you are mixing.

please re-read what people have said and take a little while. Work out the probability trees you are being shown. Then think about the even you are performing each time. They have different probabilities as you are looking at them from two points of view.
 
Likewise, if I had infinite cash, I'd be happy to let Hostile 'invest' my money for me, even with his misguided understanding of probabilities :)
 
Hostile17 said:
For example if I was on roulette and it had landed on black twice would you not put money on red the next time, or would it truly not matter? Would it still be 50/50 given what has come before? I don't think you would make much money if you don't take into account past turns.
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Looking at it from your point of view, you're either betting on the run being black black black, or black black red. Each of which is an equally likely proposition.
 
81: According to the Babylonian Talmud[8], an insect flew into the Roman emperor Titus's nose and picked at his brain for seven years. He noticed that the sound of a blacksmith hammering caused the ensuing pain to abate, so he paid for blacksmiths to hammer nearby him; however, the effect wore off and the insect resumed its gnawing. When he died, they opened his skull and found the insect had grown to the size of a bird.
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:eek:
 
cant rember if this explains it any better for you hostile as ive got no sounds at work so not sure what was actually said but here goes anyway

 
div0 said:
Likewise, if I had infinite cash, I'd be happy to let Hostile 'invest' my money for me, even with his misguided understanding of probabilities :)
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Thanks! I'd be happy to take it ;)

I'm going to play roulette sometime with my strategy see if it really doesn't work! I'll post the results if I can still afford my internet connection and I'm not busy at Gamblers Anonymous . :)
 
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