US election 2012

[Azza]

Seems like Obama will win, how boring!

Indeed, Romney v China would have been fun to watch.

 

[explicit4u]

How do they call states with only 20% reported?

 

[King Damager]

How do they call states with only 20% reported?

Large percentage of people have voted one way. It could technically go the other way, but chances are they're so confident they've called it.

kd

 

[Clipsey]

Looks like Bronco in gonna take FL any Ohio

 

[muon]

How do they call states with only 20% reported?

Say you have a bag containing 600,000 red balls and 400,000 blue balls.

How many random balls would you have to look at before you realise there are more red than blue?

 

[dante6491]

Say you have a bag containing 600,000 red balls and 400,000 blue balls.

How many random balls would you have to look at before you realise there are more red than blue?

30 Balls. Counts as a significantly large sample size and a normal distribution can be applied.

 

[Sankari]

Fox and NBC are giving Wisconsin to Obama. That's Paul Ryan's home state.

(Source).

Ahahaha, Ryan's home state voted for Obama!

 

[Rich_L]

It's a win-win for me really, if the Dems lose they will be like aw shucks I guess the economy just did it for Obama but at least we carry the Senate, so we'll probably end up with (hopefully) moderate Mitt rather than retard Mitt in the White House.

If the Repubs lose though (which seems likely) RedState and Breitbart are going to be the most epic fun reading, it'll be like 9/11 times 1,048,091

 

[m4rk84]

With Ohio looking like it's going Obama's way doesn't it make it really hard for Romney to win?

 

[dante6491]

With Ohio looking like it's going Obama's way doesn't it make it really hard for Romney to win?

Pretty much impossible.

 

[muon]

30 Balls. Counts as a significantly large sample size and a normal distribution can be applied.

Was more a thought exercise.

I don't think you can actually define an exact number without seeing what the sample actually says. If you have 30 and 15/15 then that tells you nothing about the result, whilst 30/0 might.

So you have to use Bayesian probability calculations. Too late to think about it properly though for me.

 

[King Damager]

With Ohio looking like it's going Obama's way doesn't it make it really hard for Romney to win?

If Obama gets Ohio, yeah, it's pretty much gone to him.

kd

 

[Naffa]

Elizabeth Warren is projected to oust Scott Brown from the Massachusetts senate seat, possibly the best news so far, tonight.

 

[Sankari]

Elizabeth Warren is projected to oust Scott Brown from the Massachusetts senate seat, possibly the best news so far, tonight.

That's gold. Absolute gold.

 

[dante6491]

Todd Akin and Scott Brown have both lost I think which means the Republicans cannot take back the senate.

 

[Azza]

Looks like Democrats will have the Senate. Todd Akin, who is another Republican with lets say odd views on rape has lost to Claire McCaskill. Him and Richard Mourdock must have some bizarre conversations!

 

[Sankari]

Piers Morgan on Twitter:

Cheer up Todd Akin: if it's a legitimate loss, the body has a way of shutting it down. #Election #Senate

 

[Lil old me]

Yup CNN just called that the Republicans cannot win the Senate now. Also commentators (even the republican) is resigned to an Obama win in Florida.

 

[explicit4u]

Barack Obama 3,804,560 49.9%
Mitt Romney 3,757,037 49.3%

Looks like Obama is pulling away in Florida.

 

[Naffa]

Obama has won. He only has to win Iowa, he can lose Ohio, Florida, Virginia and North Carolina and he will still pass 270.