What's going to happen to the car market?

Banzai_Joe said:
You say the average age of a car is 8.2 years, but that doesn't mean the average length of ownership does it?
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That wasn't the point I am making. The point I am making is that the average car on the road is 8 years old so in ten years from now the average car on the road will be 2022 models which will still predominantly be ICE. You will be looking at another 8 years at least after the ban in 2030 for electric cars to become normal. Electric cars still cost astronomical amounts compared to their ICE alternatives.

People become so detached from the real world when watching Youtube etc when the reality is average Joe is still running about in a Diesel Astra or Focus and will be for some time.
 
Understood, but times change and with trends being almost forced to change (to save the planet blah blah blah) then maybe attitudes to driving will change too. BIK will attract businesses to move toward EV and that’s no small demographic.
All any of us can do is speculate but for me it’s only going one way, I guess we’re just debating how long it might take.
 
@[TW]Fox, the only reason I leave my phone number is I’m blocking the charger all night.

What’s more convenient than getting in your car with a full tank of fuel?

And if you look at any of my posts I’m one of the first to point out the issues with BEVs and I wouldn’t have one if the tax incentives weren’t so absolutely overwhelming but I have to make the best of what I’m given.
 
[TW]Fox said:
The more I think about this the more I think that plug in hybrid is the answer in the medium term. It allows the benefits of EV around town and petrol out of town and means not being able to find a charging spot is never anything more than a bit of a shame rather than a huge inconvenience.
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For the medium term plug in hybrids absolutely make sense. No arms race of "how much battery can we shove in our cars". Less compromise to the vehicle itself because you can design the battery around what 90% of drivers do on a daily basis. With the added benefit of a complete tried and tested infrastructure already in place for those longer journeys.

That will give time for the infrastructure to play catch up, fuel will ultimately only go one way price wise so people will start to transition towards wanting more range and we settle at a reasonable level of range that keeps everyone happy. When every garage has suitable charging facilities Mr & Mrs Average will probably conclude that "Oh, actually we never need more than 150 miles of range now we can pop into any garage and dump another 100 miles in the cells in the time it takes to have a pumpkin spiced latte".
 
Exactly.

Why design a battery system that takes a car 500 miles if most owners will do that once a month maximum, if at all, and it can be easily taken care off by an ICE?
 
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