Winter 2023/24 - It's FREEZING!

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Neil79

Neil79

Neil79

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Let's have a look at this upcoming winter shall we and into 2024!

Some charts I've grabbed from netweather etc

(High pressure looks to be rather dominant to our north/greenland)

image-png-96a682454775e3a1d7e316dd1e5774d7.png


Weather forecasts

Europe is expected to have warmer-than-average temperatures over most of the western and central parts of the continent. Colder temperatures will be more defined in the northern and northeastern parts of the continent.

This means that the main circulation mode over Europe will be from north to south, meaning a northerly flow over Europe. The potential snowfall scenarios over central Europe will be bound to the intensity of the northerly flow and individual cold fronts coming down from the north.

The models are not in 100% agreement over the pattern in the North Atlantic. The main key is the positioning and strength of a potential high-pressure zone over Iceland/Greenland relative to the North American pattern.

Precipitation-wise, more precipitation is expected over central and southern Europe. The snowfall forecast shows less snowfall over Europe, despite more precipitation, except for the higher elevations.
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www.severe-weather.eu

Winter forecast 2023/2024: First in-depth Winter weather outlook and how the pressure patterns will develop under the strong El Nino event

A first look at the Winter 2023/2024 forecast for the United States, Canada, and Europe shows a strong influence of the growing El Nino event
www.severe-weather.eu www.severe-weather.eu

- To early to tell what way the weather is going for this Winter, but already it's completely different than last year in terms of Summer into Autumn with the Jet Stream being a lot further south than normal.
 
Feek said:
I'm looking forward to seeing what the models say so I can laugh when they're terribly, terribly wrong :cry:
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I'm more hopeful this Winter to be honest, there has been a serious lack of "SUMMER" for this part of the world, even if most of the west had a heatwave in June. It's been a bit meh all the way through July and August bar the odd humid day!
Will be keeping an eye on Ice and Snow development throughout the months ahead
 
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Yes I wore a coat @chrcoluk and no I don't live in Scotland @sigma - I have just come back from one of my homes in the Med where it's 36C. I had acclimatised to it, and coming back to the uk where it's under 20C was a bit of a shock. By example we run the AC at home (in Cyprus) at 26C. So coming back to the UK when it's under 20C feels VERY cold.

Yesterday I had to go to town and it was 16C. So yes I needed a coat!
 
tyke_ said:
We had the heating on this morning. But they've forecast it's going to be warm for a week or 2 from tomorrow.
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Saw this too on met office deep dive. Might take up praying!

Apparently the hurricanes in USA are going to get swept up and lift the jet stream above us.

Praise be, let it be so!
 
Before we start talking about winter, what happened to summer. I know we joke about summer being over after the first heat wave in May/June, but it feels like summer actually ended back then.
 
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