Caporegime
- Joined
- 13 May 2003
- Posts
- 34,563
- Location
- Warwickshire
he isn't talking about probability, he's talking about the changes in her piloting as a result of her first crash.
She wasn't flying it you gimp!

he isn't talking about probability, he's talking about the changes in her piloting as a result of her first crash.
But come on whats the chance of say been hit by lightning twice? Its extremely, extremely unlikely, which was my original point.
She wasn't flying it you gimp!![]()
From memory the record was something like a 20 times by one person....
Lightning is also likely to strike the same place twice in quick succession (the previous strike ionises the air making it an easier route to ground)
Were going round in circles now. I disagree.
On what basis?
Due you disagree with the maths, or just feel that someone should not get in a helicopter again after having one crash?![]()
# 1998: In Congo a soccer game ended when every player on the visiting team was struck by a fork bolt of lightning, killing them all instantly. The home team was unharmed because only visiting team wore metal studs on their soccer cleats.
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That I believe having one helicopter crash reduce the chances of having another!
Just as after having 2 heads in a row on a coin having another head will be greatly reduced (only the first flip is truly 50/50).
Just as after having 2 heads in a row on a coin having another head will be greatly reduced (only the first flip is truly 50/50).
That I believe having one helicopter crash reduce the chances of having another!
Just as after having 2 heads in a row on a coin having another head will be greatly reduced (only the first flip is truly 50/50).
bit off topic but Alexander Litvinenko was killed almost 2 years ago!, how time flies
I know. I can't beleive I got away with it.
That I believe having one helicopter crash reduce the chances of having another!
Ouch!
Inner city comprehensive was it?
1410: Martin I of Aragon died from a lethal combination of indigestion and uncontrollable laughing.
1327: Edward II of England, after being deposed and imprisoned by his Queen consort Isabella and her lover Roger Mortimer, was rumored to have been murdered by having a red-hot iron inserted into his anus
# 2001: Bernd-Jürgen Brandes from Germany was stabbed repeatedly and then partly eaten by Armin Meiwes (who was later called the Cannibal of Rothenburg). Brandes had answered an internet advertisement by Meiwes looking for someone for this purpose. Brandes explicitly stated in his will that he wished to be killed and eaten.
2003: Brandon Vedas died of a drug overdose while engaged in an Internet chat, as shown on his webcam.
Yes it does it makes it a hell of a lot more unlikely. Having one incident and then having the same event occur again are not separate events the fact she was already in one means the chances of her having another one are very slim! She would be incredibly unlucky if you like.
Using that analogy where you don't take into account probability just doesn't work in real life.