Care to give me next week's Lottery numbers while you're at it?
Everything is conjecture at this point, I expect there will be more games on the PS4 but to write off the XB1 is just stupid. There are more PS2 and PS3 games than XBox and 360 games but there are also a higher percentage of junk games as well and in terms of exclusives it really comes down to personal preference. Frankly, there are enough exclusives to justify having all the current (should that be previous) gen consoles and I imagine that in time it'll be exactly the same.
I look at the XB1 as more of a work in progress, quite a lot of its unique potential hasn't been realised yet (and it might not ever be). The PS4 is a simpler offering, it has more raw power and that should translate to better graphics and more complex games but IF (big IF) Kinect improves and MS get the UI sorted then I think there will be a lot that draws people to the XB1.
Frankly it feels at the moment that a lot of people are bashing on MS purely because it's cool to do so and to justify the fact they can only buy one console and have gone for the PS4.
I want all the consoles to do well, they each bring something different and trying to declare a winner is pointless. The Wii U is likely to "lose" this generation but right now it's got some fantastic games and by March it'll have even more. In the meantime I'll still be waiting for TitanFall and Infamous to start to truly justify my XB1/PS4 purchases.