Unreal. :/
Hurricane - Irma
- Thread starter Neil79
- Start date
Unreal. :/
Soldato
Sounds like Tampa going to get a big hit correct? see it been downgraded to Cat 3 though
Not really seeing that pattern - there seems to be a pattern of ~40 year ebb and flow with a peak culminating in a 70+ hour ~180-190mph hurricane.
He is getting well paid, I'd assume. Otherwise, no justification of the risk at all.
Yes, global warming. What is better for us - a new Ice Age or warmer climate with more hurricanes?! Either way, we are screwed.
Caporegime
Katrina was a 3.
It's not the wind that is going to be the main problem, the win always gets the headlines but it's the water.
Soldato
Should be cat3, on the low end I imagine. 90mph+ wind plus gusts.
We may get to feel the eye go over, an eery calm at about 2am.
Less worried about it now than the past couple days, it's less severe than it has been.
Hurricane Andrew?
Caporegime
That CNN reporter by the marina needs to get away from there. Although when I was watching him earlier the water levelwas much lower, it has visibly gone up a few feet since.
From one of our typhoons last year:
Got another one heading our way next week.
Re: glass etc, people here will often tape diagonally across their windows to try to prevent them from shattering (so they stay in larger pieces instead), and many apartment buildings have cages over the windows to prevent debris hitting them in the first place - though other people will tell you that's to stop random people from kidnapping children. To be honest though, we get category 4/5 storms every year, it's almost always the water that does the most damage, rather than strong winds.
He's 3 stories so should be fine from the storm surge.
Regarding the frequency / intensity and of these events. Over a decent enough period you will see that they are becoming less frequent, however more intense. Mainly due to slightly warmer oceans.
If Urma stays hugging the coast it could be drawn out for quite some time.
Regarding the frequency / intensity and of these events. Over a decent enough period you will see that they are becoming less frequent, however more intense. Mainly due to slightly warmer oceans.
If Urma stays hugging the coast it could be drawn out for quite some time.
Soldato
Andrew was half the size of this one, but the same intensity.
This one is problematic due to it's physical size, it's twice as wide as Florida.
Tornado warnings all over central Florida, my grandparents house was in the path of one, luckily they are in Alaska right now
There is an interesting trend in the ONI oscillations in regard to that which seems to be being largely ignored - future peak el nino events could be increasingly more severe - the flooding, etc. we saw on the rising edge of the last peak could potentially be increasingly worse over the next few cycles.
It's scary watching the river in Tampa literally draining away behind the reporter - you know it'll be back with a vengeance later.
Caporegime
They better tied down all the boats....
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlan..._of_tropical_storms_and_hurricanes_per_season
The graph shows a pretty noticeable general uptrend.
That graphic needs a bit of interpreting - before 1935 records weren't kept the same and in 2001 what was included in the classification changed - we've also progressively increased our technology so as to be able to more widely and more accurately record such weather. While there is somewhat of an up tick it is too early to establish a specific pattern.
One of the biggest increases there is post our ability to use satellites to help in monitoring weather globally.
Soldato
130mph wind gust at Marco Island
Are you high enough up to cope with the coming surge?
Before or after the tornado?
Soldato
We're 10ft above sea level, the storm is already on land so the surge won't be bad. Not worried about that