Hurricane Ophelia to Brush the Azores This Weekend; May Affect Ireland Next Week

Rroff · 15 Oct 2017 at 07:58

Unlikely - this is almost unprecedented - a warm trough ahead of it has facilitated a setup we pretty much never see - but likely still going to come fairly far short of that and this is a really unlikely event in the first place.

redline · 15 Oct 2017 at 08:15

Ayahuasca said:
Any chance in the near future the UK could see a low category hurricane make landfall?

It is possible, but highly unlikely with North Atlantic water temperatures ... It happened in 1961 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Debbie_(1961) which also made landfall in Ireland. Of course 30 years tomorrow was the great storm, which was not a hurricane, but, did contain hurricane force winds.

It could be very nasty for western Ireland and further afield tomorrow.

moon man · 15 Oct 2017 at 08:51

well theres a 26.5ft long period swell hitting tommorow afternoon ,may be a caes of watching rarther than surfing (unless im newquay way for the sheltered beaches)

NooBish AbbZ · 15 Oct 2017 at 08:58

Well bloody hell :eek:

When I saw the headlines I thought as in a late American hurricane's tail end throwing the UK a bit of wind and rain, not the situation that's actually lead to a hurricane forming this far east. Fascinating!

Rroff · 15 Oct 2017 at 09:05

NooBish AbbZ said:
Well bloody hell When I saw the headlines I thought as in a late American hurricane's tail end throwing the UK a bit of wind and rain, not the situation that's actually lead to a hurricane forming this far west. Fascinating!

Yeah it formed something like 900 miles further than normally furthest extent expected.

It is quite an odd setup in general so I think the models might be a off a little compared to what might happen though not sure in what way.

newbiejim · 15 Oct 2017 at 11:52

Rroff said:
Yeah it formed something like 900 miles further than normally furthest extent expected.

It is quite an odd setup in general so I think the models might be a off a little compared to what might happen though not sure in what way.

I think this is spot on, how can they be 100% on where it tracks at this point, especially as its way outside a normal event, I work in Ayr so could be an interesting Tuesday.

HarryJ · 15 Oct 2017 at 19:46

As much as I like the warm, it's concerning really and only going to get worse over time due to global warming.

Tachyon · 15 Oct 2017 at 20:05

Built a bit of a lean-to greenhouse earlier in the year, I guess this time tomorrow I'll know how sturdy it is.

Rimsy · 15 Oct 2017 at 20:59

moon man said:
well theres a 26.5ft long period swell hitting tommorow afternoon ,may be a caes of watching rarther than surfing (unless im newquay way for the sheltered beaches)

Harlyn early PM

moon man · 15 Oct 2017 at 21:14

Rimsy said:
Harlyn early PM

ah yes this place scares the hell out of me when its working , i end up in what ive been told is called cowards corner (furthest from car park) this beach is just so flat most of the year but a nice long period swell and boom
https://www.harlynsurfschool.co.uk/webcam.html

web cam link
showing pretty flat until late afternoon

flea.rider · 15 Oct 2017 at 21:34

HarryJ said:
As much as I like the warm, it's concerning really and only going to get worse over time due to global warming.

global warming is a lie .. there is no physical way heat can control earth as there is no glass of any kind the heat over the last 20 yrs was due to a solar maximum which is now gone ....
over the next 35yrs its only going to get colder

ajf · 15 Oct 2017 at 21:38

uvarvu said:
Showing up on my phone wallpaper now :/

Looks interesting.
Is that a live wallpaper/weather app?

Smokey Deza · 15 Oct 2017 at 21:53

BORING.

Scotland gets all the fun.

Smokey Deza · 15 Oct 2017 at 21:54

ajf said:
Looks interesting.
Is that a live wallpaper/weather app?

Yes I want too.

4K8KW10 · 15 Oct 2017 at 22:07

Weather becomes interesting globally.

flea.rider said:
global warming is a lie .. there is no physical way heat can control earth as there is no glass of any kind the heat over the last 20 yrs was due to a solar maximum which is now gone ....
over the next 35yrs its only going to get colder

No.
Human activities transform energy from one form to another. Fossil fuels directly go to poluttion and added heat.
Why are big city centres or downtowns much warmer than the surroundings of the same city? Because humans make it so!

ajf · 15 Oct 2017 at 22:13

Smokey Deza said:
Yes I want too.

Ah, it’s the Google Pixel live wallpaper by the looks, but there seems to be several ports for other Android phones

Destination · 15 Oct 2017 at 23:16

It would appear that it is not expected to lose any power or wind strength now before landfall.
Met errieann have upgraded their warning afaik to red for the entire island.
I believe all schools are closed.
The hurricane isn’t being downgraded to tropical storm, it is being name changed to ex-orphelia. This is due to shape and structure changes meaning it is no longer a hurricane, but it retains the wind strengths of one.

In northern ireland it would appear we are taking the view that no one has told us what to do, and by the time it gets here school might be over anyway.
I would prefer not to have to drive home tomorrow afternoon, but such is life.
I think it’ll be the worst winds i have ever experienced here anyway in fourty years.

Destination · 15 Oct 2017 at 23:21

Correction.
It would appear all schools in northern ireland will also close.

Eurofighter · 15 Oct 2017 at 23:36

In Manchester here. Hope its gonna be windy.

Kronos · 16 Oct 2017 at 07:43

Weather update from Edinburgh, rained a bit over nght but not a breath of wind so far. Perfect weather for walking my cat Millie.

Edit. 09.30 very black sky's here now, looking ominous.