Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

[Ayahuasca]

Is it ogre for Russia then?

 

[bingham67]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1569640034898173955

 

[bingham67]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1569613832137625600

 

[Terminal_Boy]

I would have thought HiMars were also offensive.

You’d struggle to assault a town with a HiMars battery and a few infantry.

Tanks with infantry support on the other hand…

 

[Hook]

No, I'm absolutely not claiming that - that's stupid. But Russia hasn't gone full mobilisation, and it still has a lot of forces and capability it hasn't committed. Russia has about two million soldiers (although that depends a lot on what you're calling a soldier) and sent in about 150,000 originally. That's not because they were sending in chumps and holding back the elites or something stupid like that, but because Russia has a lot of different things that army is supposed to do.

But priorities can change. Putin could call for full mobilisation and conscript an army to throw in next year, he could pull forces away from defensive positions around the country, etc.

Let's say Putin does prepare 2 million troops for a new "suprise" attack next year, armed with what they have left and new North Korean weapons. They'll face new conscripted Ukrainians trained during winter (Ukraine can muster what, 500k to 1 million men on the field max?), with Amreican lend lease running. It would be a bloodbath imo.

 

[Uther]

Surely there needs to be some sort of negotiated settlement eventually, or is that not possible after the way Putin has behaved thus far?

Maybe they'll let him keep Moscow.

 

[Hagar]

Maybe they'll let him keep Moscow.

Or twelve square feet of it by six deep.

 

[englishpremier]

Let's say Putin does prepare 2 million troops for a new "suprise" attack next year, armed with what they have left and new North Korean weapons. They'll face new conscripted Ukrainians trained during winter (Ukraine can muster what, 500k to 1 million men on the field max?), with Amreican lend lease running. It would be a bloodbath imo.

Doesn't Ukraine have many more than 500k-1million men of fighting age?

 

[Firestar_3x]

If this is how Russia fights, can you imagine how much of a **** show North Korea would be.

I wonder if anyone outside of Tucker Carlson still thinks the USA vs Russia would have been a close fight.

Comical.

 

[Mr Jack]

Let's say Putin does prepare 2 million troops for a new "suprise" attack next year, armed with what they have left and new North Korean weapons. They'll face new conscripted Ukrainians trained during winter (Ukraine can muster what, 500k to 1 million men on the field max?), with Amreican lend lease running. It would be a bloodbath imo.

Russia still has extensive stocks of weapons, ammunition, vehicles, etc. that it has not committed. What? Do you think they've left their borders undefended? Come on. Russia is getting humiliated in Ukraine, but let's not exaggerate just how threadbare their cupboard is.

And, yeah, throwing conscripts into Ukraine isn't going to win them the war. Probably there is nothing they can do to win this war. But that doesn't mean that it is over, Russia's occupying forces are going to collapse, and Ukraine is going to sweep across the remaining occupied territories in a matter of weeks. It's more likely that there months or years of fighting ahead.

Doesn't Ukraine have many more than 500k-1million men of fighting age?

Yeah, but the problem is always one of training and equipping them. All the stuff flooding in from the West is helping, but there are still reports of many units lacking basics like helmets, uniforms, and medical equipment.

 

[Mr Badger]

Pervasive corruption is the only thing I can think of that explains the Russian military's (lack of) performance.

It's bad enough that the people at the top, all the way up to Putin himself, must know they cannot trust the information the are getting from those under them. This must feel like a game of "Marco Polo". All they can do is bark orders and wait for results on the battlefield before they have any idea what the real situation is.

Shame that Putin skipped the how to be an effective leader training course when he first got elected.

Steal everything thing you can and create a culture where you don't allow opposition and actively punish those who challenge you, whilst rewarding sycophants and incompetents as long as you perceive them to be of no threat to you. Keep that going for a couple of decades and then make a huge error because your people aren't telling you the truth and have also been robbing the system at every opportunity.

 

[bingham67]

Sending Chechen to kill deserters isnt going to do good for morale, there is no wonder some Russians want to give up the chaos as the organisation of troops and communication seems non existent.

The way Russia has planned and gone about this war is all wrong now they find them self down a rabbit hole.

 

[bingham67]

US Air Force bomber is roaming skies over Gloucestershire

The US Air Force jet, coded SPICY22, took off from RAF Fairford in Gloucestershire today before it began to circle in a constant loop after issuing an emergency Squawk 7700 code.

www.dailymail.co.uk

 

[CapitalOne]

US Air Force bomber is roaming skies over Gloucestershire

The US Air Force jet, coded SPICY22, took off from RAF Fairford in Gloucestershire today before it began to circle in a constant loop after issuing an emergency Squawk 7700 code.

www.dailymail.co.uk

Don't they do this all the time at the moment? (checks source) ahh of course.

 

[Vulcan]

US Air Force bomber is roaming skies over Gloucestershire

The US Air Force jet, coded SPICY22, took off from RAF Fairford in Gloucestershire today before it began to circle in a constant loop after issuing an emergency Squawk 7700 code.

www.dailymail.co.uk

Number 6 engine shut down, it was circling to burn off fuel and landed safely after several hours.

 

[Turn]

 

[Blackjack Davy]

Surely there needs to be some sort of negotiated settlement eventually, or is that not possible after the way Putin has behaved thus far?

There will have to be some kind of settlement even if its only a ceasefire Korean style, north and south are still officially at war they never declared an end to hostilities. Ukraine isn't going to invade russian territory any more than NATO is indeed they're under strict orders from the US not to use supplied weapons on Russian soil the US simply wouldn't support it.

 

[Harlequin]

Thats politicing - UKR doesnt really want Leopards - they want more T72`s / T80`s.

 

[bingham67]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1569700905905168386

 

[Turn]

EU sanctions prevent Moscow from making up military losses, top diplomat says

European Union sanctions are severely hurting Moscow's potential to sustain its weapons and military equipment in the war on Ukraine, the EU's top diplomat said on Tuesday, arguing almost half of Russia's technology depended on European imports.

www.reuters.com

Russia acknowledges major tech shortcomings in 2030 strategy document - Kommersant

A critical dependence on foreign technology, low investment attractiveness and acute staff shortages are just some of the challenges facing Russia's electronics industry, according to a draft government document seen by the Kommersant daily.

www.reuters.com

U.S. concerned Russia could 'stir the pot' in Azerbaijan-Armenia conflict - Blinken

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said on Tuesday he was concerned that Russia could try to "stir the pot" in the conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia.

www.reuters.com

Ukraine shoots down Iranian-made drone used by Russia- defence ministry

Ukraine's defence ministry said on Tuesday it had shot down an Iranian-made Shahed-136 drone used by Russia's armed forces in the northeastern region of Kharkiv, the first time Kyiv claimed to have eliminated one of the devices.

www.reuters.com