I wonder how much of a kicked off it would happen now. Since every soul is being thrown into Ukraine. If it was not for poo t in it wouldn't have happened. It was him with a plan to make little regions within countries to stir **** up.
Contrary to the perception people get the forces deployed to the Caucasus are still fairly sizeable and reasonably well equipped/supplied though some of the more experienced, due to the conflicts in that region, have been redeployed to Ukraine (around 20% of the stationed Russian forces and 10% of the SO forces for example).