Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)

When the margin calls kick in it could be spectacular. Add deposit, sell or do nothing and get legal.
 
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Could go either way, Trump waters down his demands which causes a buying spree on open. Or EU plays their hand and the market tanks even more. I'm fairly sure the bottom will be confirmed after either case
Hilarious.

There is so much horrific unwinding of supply chains and economies across the globe that will take months to work it's way through. Inflation will balloon, interest rates will have to go up again. Cost of living crisis round 2. For the US, primarily, this time at least.

US markets are toast. There is so much FOMO pricing to unwind back to historically sensible levels.

The only way the bottom is in is if Trump completely backtracks and dumps this whole insane policy in the bin.
 
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Hilarious.

There is so much horrific unwinding of supply chains and economies across the globe that will take months to work it's way through. Inflation will balloon, interest rates will have to go up again. Cost of living crisis round 2. For the US, primarily, this time at least.

US markets are toast. There is so much FOMO pricing to unwind back to historically sensible levels.

The only way the bottom is in is if Trump completely backtracks and dumps this whole insane policy in the bin.
Market pricing says rate cuts and lots of them to support the US economy as it collapses into recession.

Personally I think if these tariffs stick we will grind much lower yet.
 
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I am seriously contemplating moving all my pension to a cash fund.

I’ve got 250k that I’ve built from zero over the last 7 years in a pension that with another big drop will have eroded all my growth.

I don’t really want to see that go negative.

I can easily buy back in as things settle.
 
The market has priced in 4 rate cuts for Australia as a result of the tariffs - was in todays news.
 
I am seriously contemplating moving all my pension to a cash fund.

I’ve got 250k that I’ve built from zero over the last 7 years in a pension that with another big drop will have eroded all my growth.

I don’t really want to see that go negative.

I can easily buy back in as things settle.
What have you got it invested in?
When do you need the funds?
The time to move into cash was 2/3 months ago. Whilst there is a risk that you go lower there is also a risk that you miss the bounce when things stabilise (as they will).Personally I'd do nothing especially if you are not retired.
Selling up now is your instinct but you are crystallising the loss of your growth and if you mis time a re-entry by a day then you easily stand to lose 5%.

plenty of stuff on Youtube but I like this guy. He's good at explaining the market dynamics.
 
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What have you got it invested in?
When do you need the funds?
The time to move into cash was 2/3 months ago. Whilst there is a risk that you go lower there is also a risk that you miss the bounce when things stabilise (as they will).Personally I'd do nothing especially if you are not retired.
Selling up now is your instinct but you are crystallising the loss of your growth and if you mis time a re-entry by a day then you easily stand to lose 5%.

plenty of stuff on Youtube but I like this guy. He's good at explaining the market dynamics.
You’re right. It is instinct to not want to see my contributions become less. One fund already is.
I’m split across equities worldwide, US Europe and rest of world.

I don’t plan to retire for another 12-15 years.
 
S&P -5.97%. Brutal.

I love this meme, its so true.

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Ok wild maybe wishful thinking prediction, a compromise will eventually be made whereby most if not all reducing tariffs.

China adding 34% to US goods is just stupidity, the Americans must import loads more from China than vice versa.

If the USA stops most Chinese imports China would be in big trouble. Yes the USA would have less cheap tat to buy but so what.

Probably a good time to buy into solid companies that have dropped a lot.
 
My prediction is some softening of tariffs and a big bounce as early as next week , who shouted foolish optimism at the back ?
Please bookmark and mock at a later date :p
 
If the USA stops most Chinese imports China would be in big trouble. Yes the USA would have less cheap tat to buy but so what.

Small and medium-sized U.S. businesses risk failure because they depend on Chinese suppliers, certain components and materials aren't available domestically.
 
So guys its nearly time for the new ISA tax year.

With the way the stock market is going at the moment do you think its best to stick the ISA allowance into a regular ISA for the moment and avoid topping up the stocks and shares ISA? Or still stick it in the stocks and shares ISA but change the investment plan?
 
With the way the stock market is going at the moment do you think its best to stick the ISA allowance into a regular ISA for the moment and avoid topping up the stocks and shares ISA? Or still stick it in the stocks and shares ISA but change the investment plan?
for me, it'll be a cash ISA and then transfer to S+S once the recovery phase begins.
who knows when the bottom will be
 
You’re right. It is instinct to not want to see my contributions become less. One fund already is.
I’m split across equities worldwide, US Europe and rest of world.

I don’t plan to retire for another 12-15 years.
Then ride it out. You'll be fine. My advice would be don't tinker with it and leave it invested. Pound cost average each month. You'll be minted!
 
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