Years? Zen 4 might land Q4 this year or early 2022
It going to be Zen refresh this September I think with AM5 and Zen 4 next September I believe from what seeing. Most reason for that is that a Zen3 refresh with AM5 would give mobo makers a reason to get boards out and be able to port their BIOS on chips they already know otherwise and tweak etc. Meaning Zen 4 should theoretically have a smoother transition than dropping all at once.
2023 as earliest. Q4 2021 would be Zen 3 refresh Warhol.
Why would you think 2023 earliest, that would be a 3 year window since release of Zen 3 to get to Zen 4 and yet every previous they have been yearly. I get a delay because well everything right now but to suggest two years to get Zen 4 out seems very perplexing. Zen 5 would be September 2023 if they get back to trajectory and that is already assuming a 12 month delay to their whole release timeline. It isn't like Zen2 refresh stopped Zen3 release either.
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