I don't understand why people expect so little of Polaris 10. I mean even a straight die shrink of a 390X would be ~220mm2 and would obviously be the speed of a 390X.
P10 is a little bigger than that and it will no doubt have efficiency improvements which I would hope at least minorly improve this, then with a pretty good clock bump on top of that.
If it came out any slower than a 390X minimum I would be very disappointed.
Yeah, pointed this out several times myself.
Also if they did just do the straight-shrink it would clock higher too due to the 14LPP process.
So you'd expect a ~220mm2 card which was 15-20% faster than the 390X.
P10 is larger and an upgraded architecture, so people should be expecting it to be around FuryX/980Ti level as the minimum.