Chances of UKIP winning General Election?

areksnumbr1sxylady · 27 May 2014 at 04:15

So what do you think? A year ago I would laugh at such idea... but now....

Marine Iguana · 27 May 2014 at 04:22

Doubt they could win but will likely get their foot in the door a bit more.

Scania · 27 May 2014 at 04:32

Nil.

And if we do ,one day,find ourselves governed by what's effectively an anti Europe one trick pony party, god help us!

Don't forget William Hague as leader of the Conservatives won the 1999 Euro election, he beat Tony Blair by campaigning on an anti Euro ticket by 34% to 26% of the vote,but, a fat lot of good it did him come the following General Election, which Blair walked.

Eurofighter · 27 May 2014 at 06:29

Hades · 27 May 2014 at 06:39

Can't see it happening.

Cosimo · 27 May 2014 at 06:45

Not worth placing a bet.

Duke · 27 May 2014 at 06:52

As much chance as the other one policy parties.

robgmun · 27 May 2014 at 07:07

Realistically not a cats chance in hell. I expect a good result for them to be around 4-5 MP's

aardvark · 27 May 2014 at 07:14

atpbx · 27 May 2014 at 07:16

0%

I think the labour vote will collapse as well before the next election, especially when it comes to committing to them destroying the economy again.

dirtychinchilla · 27 May 2014 at 07:18

Let's really really hope not

Zethor · 27 May 2014 at 07:27

None. Many of their EU votes will probably migrate to the Tories, which will help them secure another win.

deuse · 27 May 2014 at 07:29

I think they will have a good chance of a coalition with the tory party.

But general election thread will turn in to a bully boy\UKIP bashing ect in no time.

Jenny_baby · 27 May 2014 at 07:31

A comeback from the Monster Raving Loony party will take this one down.

You heard it here first.

Terminal_Boy · 27 May 2014 at 07:38

If Cameron actually shows some progress in re-negotiating our relationship with the EU, I expect the Conservatives to win with a small majority.

- Former Conservative voters who backed UKIP last week could be wooed back into the fold.
- LibDems are finished as the 3rd option.
- Milliband appears to be the new Kinnock and even diehard Labours voters won't be able to stomach voting for him/it.

Castiel · 27 May 2014 at 07:39

Slim to none..

Conanius · 27 May 2014 at 07:44

I think this is the end of the Lib Dems. UKIP will take their place.

The issue then is, I can't seem them or Labour willing to work together, so you think... could they work with the Conservatives.

I just don't see it. The risk is too great that the right half of the Conservatives would just become UKIP.

I think there may be a 'deal' that in weak conservative areas, Conservatives may help UKIP try and steal seats from Labour/Lib Dem. Conservatives, UKIP/Labour battling out the 2nd/3rd place... Lib Dems back in the box after totally failing to do what their supporters wanted.

Tunney · 27 May 2014 at 08:02

They've got as much chance as the Greens.

scorza · 27 May 2014 at 08:24

I don't think UKIP will field enough candidates to win a general election. I think they'll win a handful of seats but no more, people vote in GEs for who they want to be PM - I expect a lot of voters who voted UKIP last week will return to voting Tory. The system is rigged against parties like UKIP remember, we had our chance to change it but decided not to.

dirtychinchilla · 27 May 2014 at 08:25

Castiel said:
Slim to none..

I think that you might be putting too much faith in the voters.