Soldato
- Joined
- 11 Sep 2013
- Posts
- 12,491
As always, you let your assumptions get the better of you.Likewise, I'm glad you accepted my assertions LOL I mean those things weren't in dispute in the first place. I had to keep reiterating that I'm not making a monocausal argument because you kept on replying as if I were.
I do find it absolutely hilarious that you (for seemingly no actual reason) suddenly feel the need to deny any monocausality in your argument, having levvied the very same accusations against me for so long...
I may pick flawed premises in your argument and target them individually, but that is not, and does not even imply, monocausality!!
And yet, for all this talk about risk and probability - Has anyone actually quantified this risk, yet?Again you're getting confused by uncertainty here, we're not talking about making a prediction for an individual dog but rather the risk from many dogs of this breed.
A fag-packet Google has 10 out of 18 dog-caused fatalities in 2023 attributed to XLBs.
Leaving aside the 8 'other breed' dogs, how many XLBs (even roughly) exist in the UK and what percentage of those have either A) attacked or B) killed a human?
If there are only a hundred, that's a vastly different percentage to tens or hundreds of thousands.
Given how many XLBs people assert are for sale on Farcebook/Gumtree/Craigslist/etc, I would be genuinely interested in how many result in incidents, even estimated numbers.
"Behavioral factors show high variability within breeds"As we've already seen there is a pretty big difference with between breed variance and within breed variance for a variety of behavioural traits as shown in the Royal Society paper linked to previously, but you ignore that.
"Studies, however, found that within-breed behavioral variation approaches levels similar to the variation between breeds"
One narrow-focus study of only the stereotypical segment of a breed says one thing, while several studies examining the populations as a whole say otherwise... The latter even point out the limitations of a narrow-focussed study (such as the one you posted), because within-breed samples of purebreeds and purebred candidates are so much more inbred that genetic variations will obviously be smaller.
So only a big difference if you gear your study to show exactly that...
And yet plenty of other things that have previously been regarded as dangerous have been made acceptably safe through the application and enforcement of proper controls... That's something else risk is supposed to address.The fact is the combination of this dog being a large, powerful animal and the obvious issues with many of them attacking people resulting in plenty of injuries, dogs deaths and several killings of people make it very dangerous, thus the argument for a ban.
It's reasonable, but ineffective without the neccesary enforcement.Banning them means they would be required to be neutered, breeding is then no longer legal and they'd be required to be leashed and to wear a muzzle in public. That's a reasonable response to an obvious risk, a risk so obvious that the actual professionals whos job it is to asses risk, whose livelihoods are at stake if they get risk wrong, will not insure this type of dog.
As for the insurance - There was a time when no-one would insure drones because the risks were considered too great. I'm now about to start flying them with commercial insurance.
Hell, I was told I couldn't get private car insurance because I was a first-time driver, even though my history with that very broker showed decades of large-engined motorcycles and a good ten years of corporate driving insurance.
It's usually just algorithms and statistical guesses, rather than actual understanding of real world circumstances... and in some cases actually deliberate manipulation to try and drive a higher price.
In as much as a Shire horse is a giant Welsh pony, I suppose....!!!AFAIK they were banned as a Pitbull type but that was challenged in court and they're now not considered to be pit bulls (even though they basically are giant pit bulls).
How do you define 'vicious attack' and how is it different from any other kind of attack, and from actual kills? There are plenty of dogs that attack more than most, but don't kill, while others rarely attack but almost always kill.They're manipulative the figures there, according to the news earlier 60% of the vicious attacks over the last 12 months were by XL Bullys, I think the Kennel Club are also including "attacks" that didn't cause damage or weren't unprovoked?.
The stats do show Labradors as having the highest number of bites, but then they're also one of the highest dog populations in the UK, so yeah the statistical chances are obviously higher. Such correlation is to be expected, and this was pointed out earlier in the thread.
If you have the funds, I've already got the plans laid out... I have several others on the list, too - Katie Hopkins, Andrew Tate, Abu Hamza, and that woman who chucked a cat in a wheelie bin.Could we test this hypothesis on James Corden?
Labs still have kill stats, and there are plenty of stats on how often, and how serious, Lab bites can be.Exactly, I was "bitten" by a lab last week, didn't hurt because hes a big softy, he has also bitten a girl that came round the corner on her bike and scared him, again no injuries despite "biting" her.
Interestingly, it seems Labs in America are far more dangerous...