Does something need to be done about dogs?

Likewise, I'm glad you accepted my assertions LOL I mean those things weren't in dispute in the first place. I had to keep reiterating that I'm not making a monocausal argument because you kept on replying as if I were.
As always, you let your assumptions get the better of you.
I do find it absolutely hilarious that you (for seemingly no actual reason) suddenly feel the need to deny any monocausality in your argument, having levvied the very same accusations against me for so long...
I may pick flawed premises in your argument and target them individually, but that is not, and does not even imply, monocausality!!

Again you're getting confused by uncertainty here, we're not talking about making a prediction for an individual dog but rather the risk from many dogs of this breed.
And yet, for all this talk about risk and probability - Has anyone actually quantified this risk, yet?

A fag-packet Google has 10 out of 18 dog-caused fatalities in 2023 attributed to XLBs.
Leaving aside the 8 'other breed' dogs, how many XLBs (even roughly) exist in the UK and what percentage of those have either A) attacked or B) killed a human?
If there are only a hundred, that's a vastly different percentage to tens or hundreds of thousands.

Given how many XLBs people assert are for sale on Farcebook/Gumtree/Craigslist/etc, I would be genuinely interested in how many result in incidents, even estimated numbers.

As we've already seen there is a pretty big difference with between breed variance and within breed variance for a variety of behavioural traits as shown in the Royal Society paper linked to previously, but you ignore that.
"Behavioral factors show high variability within breeds"
"Studies, however, found that within-breed behavioral variation approaches levels similar to the variation between breeds"

One narrow-focus study of only the stereotypical segment of a breed says one thing, while several studies examining the populations as a whole say otherwise... The latter even point out the limitations of a narrow-focussed study (such as the one you posted), because within-breed samples of purebreeds and purebred candidates are so much more inbred that genetic variations will obviously be smaller.
So only a big difference if you gear your study to show exactly that...

The fact is the combination of this dog being a large, powerful animal and the obvious issues with many of them attacking people resulting in plenty of injuries, dogs deaths and several killings of people make it very dangerous, thus the argument for a ban.
And yet plenty of other things that have previously been regarded as dangerous have been made acceptably safe through the application and enforcement of proper controls... That's something else risk is supposed to address.

Banning them means they would be required to be neutered, breeding is then no longer legal and they'd be required to be leashed and to wear a muzzle in public. That's a reasonable response to an obvious risk, a risk so obvious that the actual professionals whos job it is to asses risk, whose livelihoods are at stake if they get risk wrong, will not insure this type of dog.
It's reasonable, but ineffective without the neccesary enforcement.

As for the insurance - There was a time when no-one would insure drones because the risks were considered too great. I'm now about to start flying them with commercial insurance.
Hell, I was told I couldn't get private car insurance because I was a first-time driver, even though my history with that very broker showed decades of large-engined motorcycles and a good ten years of corporate driving insurance.
It's usually just algorithms and statistical guesses, rather than actual understanding of real world circumstances... and in some cases actually deliberate manipulation to try and drive a higher price.

AFAIK they were banned as a Pitbull type but that was challenged in court and they're now not considered to be pit bulls (even though they basically are giant pit bulls).
In as much as a Shire horse is a giant Welsh pony, I suppose....!!!

They're manipulative the figures there, according to the news earlier 60% of the vicious attacks over the last 12 months were by XL Bullys, I think the Kennel Club are also including "attacks" that didn't cause damage or weren't unprovoked?.
How do you define 'vicious attack' and how is it different from any other kind of attack, and from actual kills? There are plenty of dogs that attack more than most, but don't kill, while others rarely attack but almost always kill.
The stats do show Labradors as having the highest number of bites, but then they're also one of the highest dog populations in the UK, so yeah the statistical chances are obviously higher. Such correlation is to be expected, and this was pointed out earlier in the thread.

Could we test this hypothesis on James Corden?
If you have the funds, I've already got the plans laid out... I have several others on the list, too - Katie Hopkins, Andrew Tate, Abu Hamza, and that woman who chucked a cat in a wheelie bin.

Exactly, I was "bitten" by a lab last week, didn't hurt because hes a big softy, he has also bitten a girl that came round the corner on her bike and scared him, again no injuries despite "biting" her.
Labs still have kill stats, and there are plenty of stats on how often, and how serious, Lab bites can be.
Interestingly, it seems Labs in America are far more dangerous...
 
As always, you let your assumptions get the better of you.
I do find it absolutely hilarious that you (for seemingly no actual reason) suddenly feel the need to deny any monocausality in your argument, having levvied the very same accusations against me for so long...
I may pick flawed premises in your argument and target them individually, but that is not, and does not even imply, monocausality!!


And yet, for all this talk about risk and probability - Has anyone actually quantified this risk, yet?

A fag-packet Google has 10 out of 18 dog-caused fatalities in 2023 attributed to XLBs.
Leaving aside the 8 'other breed' dogs, how many XLBs (even roughly) exist in the UK and what percentage of those have either A) attacked or B) killed a human?
If there are only a hundred, that's a vastly different percentage to tens or hundreds of thousands.

Given how many XLBs people assert are for sale on Farcebook/Gumtree/Craigslist/etc, I would be genuinely interested in how many result in incidents, even estimated numbers.


"Behavioral factors show high variability within breeds"
"Studies, however, found that within-breed behavioral variation approaches levels similar to the variation between breeds"

One narrow-focus study of only the stereotypical segment of a breed says one thing, while several studies examining the populations as a whole say otherwise... The latter even point out the limitations of a narrow-focussed study (such as the one you posted), because within-breed samples of purebreeds and purebred candidates are so much more inbred that genetic variations will obviously be smaller.
So only a big difference if you gear your study to show exactly that...


And yet plenty of other things that have previously been regarded as dangerous have been made acceptably safe through the application and enforcement of proper controls... That's something else risk is supposed to address.


It's reasonable, but ineffective without the neccesary enforcement.

As for the insurance - There was a time when no-one would insure drones because the risks were considered too great. I'm now about to start flying them with commercial insurance.
Hell, I was told I couldn't get private car insurance because I was a first-time driver, even though my history with that very broker showed decades of large-engined motorcycles and a good ten years of corporate driving insurance.
It's usually just algorithms and statistical guesses, rather than actual understanding of real world circumstances... and in some cases actually deliberate manipulation to try and drive a higher price.


In as much as a Shire horse is a giant Welsh pony, I suppose....!!!


How do you define 'vicious attack' and how is it different from any other kind of attack, and from actual kills? There are plenty of dogs that attack more than most, but don't kill, while others rarely attack but almost always kill.
The stats do show Labradors as having the highest number of bites, but then they're also one of the highest dog populations in the UK, so yeah the statistical chances are obviously higher. Such correlation is to be expected, and this was pointed out earlier in the thread.


If you have the funds, I've already got the plans laid out... I have several others on the list, too - Katie Hopkins, Andrew Tate, Abu Hamza, and that woman who chucked a cat in a wheelie bin.


Labs still have kill stats, and there are plenty of stats on how often, and how serious, Lab bites can be.
Interestingly, it seems Labs in America are far more dangerous...
I’ve always felt if I saw a lab eating a child’s face I’d stand a reasonable chance of convincing it to stop with a good hard kick these bully XL’s seem more likely to bite that foot off followed by the rest of my leg!
 
Yea sure, im just saying out of all the dogs I walk, the labs are the least id worry about.
Absolutely - Of all the dogs I've ever had, the Labrador was the one I trusted most... but our young girls both put their greatest trust in a Welsh Collie.
Labs supposedly have a 'soft bite' thing, which is a bit like the 'lock jaw' idea. Working dogs are often trained to bite soft, but a family pet without that training has the same bite force (230psi) as the GSD or Pit Bull.

I’ve always felt if I saw a lab eating a child’s face I’d stand a reasonable chance of convincing it to stop with a good hard kick these bully XL’s seem more likely to bite that foot off followed by the rest of my leg!
The hardest part in many (but not all) mauling incidents is that the dogs so often think that they're just playing a game. Using violence makes perfect sense to us, but the dog doesn't get why the **** you're suddenly being a **** about it. It's like the Mongo scene in Blazing Saddles when Bart is strapping on his guns and Jim casually says, "No no no, don't do that... If you shoot him, you'll just make him mad".
 
The hardest part in many (but not all) mauling incidents is that the dogs so often think that they're just playing a game. Using violence makes perfect sense to us, but the dog doesn't get why the **** you're suddenly being a **** about it. It's like the Mongo scene in Blazing Saddles when Bart is strapping on his guns and Jim casually says, "No no no, don't do that... If you shoot him, you'll just make him mad".

The dog doesn't need to "get it", it just needs to be stopped.
 
Ah yes, fair enough, I thought you meant in terms of "poor doggo", my bad :p
Well, that too since, as far as the dog knows, it's doing nothing wrong.
There was an incident mentioned on the forum a few years back, where a Staffy-cross had escaped its new* owner and gone running to a park where he always played among the kids. The kids there all knew him, made a fuss and played, but without proper supervision went nuts, as kids do. The dog got way overexcited and play got rougher. IIRC, no serious injuries ocurred, contrary to the media descriptions of the 'carnage' at the 'warzone' scene, but there were lots of scrapes and scratches, all because the dog thought it was play.


*Previous elderly owner could no longer look after it properly, so her son gave the dog away to a neighbour, who's kid then tried to take it for a walk. Dog had been with them for mere hours before it ran off.
 
A number of people helped to try and get the dogs off the man and contained one of the dogs outside.

Those damn springer spaniels!

Must have been a pair of big dogs if multiple people couldn't save him
 
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From the daily mail:

Police are still trying to establish the breed of the dogs involved in the fatal attack.

Sounds like it could be some sort of crossbreed, but until we get more information - who knows.

Sounds horrid.
 
Almost daily I get 'attacked' by at least 1 dog whilst on my lunch run from my house, to the park and back, often multiple times by different dogs...... for the last 3 years !!!!
Seems many dogs (not on leads) like to chase and jump up people, which leaves scratch marks on legs, ripped clothing.

It's about time legislation was introduced to force owners to control dogs when out in public spaces.
 
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