EV general discussion

I don't think its fair to compare an S4 and C43 to the Tesla SR+, it's not marketed as a 'performance' car. Hardly anyone buys 3 Series/A4/C Class with anything bigger than a 4-pot engine these days and the SR+ is the 'bum-basic' version. The power on the Tesla is very much an outlier and is basically because they can while adding next to no cost (upfront or running costs) to the car unlike an ICE.
 
My view - the more people who are able to afford a Model 3 now, however they work it out / justify the outlay - the more that will be available in 2-3 years time on the second hand market.

This is what I'm hoping for, 3 years from I will be looking for a replacement for my Zoe, and a model 3 would be a nice upgrade :)
 
Hadn't appreciated the id3 cost in Germany with subsidies 23K euros
https://insideevs.com/news/406682/vw-id3-cost-compared-with-ice/

"In the past, e-cars were somewhat less stable in value than their combustion engine counterparts. This was partly due to the low market volume (there was hardly a used car market for e-cars) and partly to the rapid development of battery technology. This will change with the new generation of e-cars: Demand for used battery vehicles suitable for everyday use has been rising for some time – a trend that is likely to continue in the coming years. The ID.3’s range and charging capacity are sufficient for many customers, and battery technology will also develop more slowly in the coming years, so that there will no longer be a major discrepancy between new and used e-cars. The eight-year battery warranty (over 160,000 kilometers) offers additional protection.

Experts are therefore forecasting residual values for the ID.3 will be roughly on a par with those of comparable oil burners."
battery tech slow down should stabilise residuals, and, I guess, they are suggesting, ubiquity, will reduce them to ice values;

at those home prices,wonder how much capacity vw will dedicate to eu customers like the UK -
yes they want the trade, but if you can reduce your own transport costs, is that trade so important, need some home/uk manufacturing.
 
There was a fairly interesting article/video on a Model X that had done over 350,000 miles as it was part of a hire fleet and the maintenance it had needed totalled $18k with 13% battery degredation. This is one article: https://cleantechnica.com/2019/01/28/350000-miles-in-a-tesla-model-x-just-18000-in-maintenance/

With an estimate of $3-7k for a Model 3 battery replacement I don't think that's crazy given it's an incredibly niche requirement and skill set. With time, if there is a significant advancement in battery tech, what else would be the reason to get rid of one? With old ICEs the reasons are breakdown and fuel economy but with so fewer moving parts on an EV (any manufacturer), software updates and fuel economy/emissions being a null issue it'll be interesting to see how many original EVs are on the road in 10+ years time.
 
There was a fairly interesting article/video on a Model X that had done over 350,000 miles as it was part of a hire fleet and the maintenance it had needed totalled $18k with 13% battery degredation. This is one article: https://cleantechnica.com/2019/01/28/350000-miles-in-a-tesla-model-x-just-18000-in-maintenance/

With an estimate of $3-7k for a Model 3 battery replacement I don't think that's crazy given it's an incredibly niche requirement and skill set. With time, if there is a significant advancement in battery tech, what else would be the reason to get rid of one? With old ICEs the reasons are breakdown and fuel economy but with so fewer moving parts on an EV (any manufacturer), software updates and fuel economy/emissions being a null issue it'll be interesting to see how many original EVs are on the road in 10+ years time.

IIRC that figure was just for a module replacement not the whole pack BUT that should still bring your range back up and make it good for another 150-200k miles.

I think the residual prices of all the current gen electric cars is very under valued, like you say in 5-10 years when you can still rock around in your model 3 with hardly any maintenance, good performance etc it should still be worth a fair bit, it'll never become a £500 banger.
 
IIRC that figure was just for a module replacement not the whole pack BUT that should still bring your range back up and make it good for another 150-200k miles.

I think the residual prices of all the current gen electric cars is very under valued, like you say in 5-10 years when you can still rock around in your model 3 with hardly any maintenance, good performance etc it should still be worth a fair bit, it'll never become a £500 banger.

I can't remember the name/details but there's a guy in Europe who takes old 24kwh Leaf's at the end of their life and upgrades them to either 30kwh, 40kwh or now the newer 64kwh batteries. Drive in, drive out sort of thing. The physical dimensions are the same so it just takes a bit of reprogramming and perhaps suspension tinkering for the latter heavier packs.

I'm surprised this sort of thing isn't more popular. There's fundamentally nothing wrong with an old Leaf, aside from range.
 
nissan/leaf should be able provide best data on battery and drive train lifespan, since they must have most cars in the wild
.. there is a point, where there is no substitute for real elapsed time, real world conditions ... (like oled, or semiconductor failure)
how much have nissan modified either battery tech, management, drivetrain, motors during the 9 years. ?
Tesla might have a different/reluctance motor, active cooling , which must be technologies Nissan evaluated too, but I don't see nissan as unrepresentative.
(Battery management software must be difficult to reverse engineer by competitors, versus any ICE tech though ... any 3rd party tesla ecu maps yet, or , its all 'encrypted')
 
I can't remember the name/details but there's a guy in Europe who takes old 24kwh Leaf's at the end of their life and upgrades them to either 30kwh, 40kwh or now the newer 64kwh batteries. Drive in, drive out sort of thing. The physical dimensions are the same so it just takes a bit of reprogramming and perhaps suspension tinkering for the latter heavier packs.

I'm surprised this sort of thing isn't more popular. There's fundamentally nothing wrong with an old Leaf, aside from range.
If you find the link, I'd be interested. I really don't like the new shape Leaf. Looks the Micras fat ugly sister. But that 64kw battery is mighty desirable.
 
Yeah i remember reading an article about the upgraded Leaf battery packs, looked a really good proposition to me. I think due to the newer/better chemistry it didn't even weigh much more if anything as the physical pack size itself was the same, if i had a 24kwh leaf i'd certainly look in to that.
 
If you find the link, I'd be interested. I really don't like the new shape Leaf. Looks the Micras fat ugly sister. But that 64kw battery is mighty desirable.

meh, i like the newer leaf over the older one

i always thought the old leaf was nasty
but now im looking at EVs, never seen one in black, except on AT, and it makes such a bid difference, even the diamond cut alloys !
 
The main issue with the 64kwh leaf is that it’s just too expensive for what it is. It’s almost Tesla money. Being stuck in chademo is going to become less and less fun as time goes on.
 
If you find the link, I'd be interested. I really don't like the new shape Leaf. Looks the Micras fat ugly sister. But that 64kw battery is mighty desirable.

It came back to be. Muxsan. Their twitter handle is muxsan_ev. I saw a post on Twitter they made the other day which reminded me:

https://twitter.com/muxsan_ev/status/1250013161954119680?s=20


A while back when the mk1 Leaf was rock bottom pricing (sub £5k or so) I considered getting one and driving out there for an extender. At the time he was busy, and he relies on scrapped cars for sourcing battery packs so there can be quite a wait. If you can source a battery yourself and get it out to him that's the best way. He also does extender packs in the boot. Lots of options, surprised it isn't more popular.

Pricing for upgrades:

https://muxsan.com/#nissan-leaf-battery-swaps/upgrades
 
It came back to be. Muxsan. Their twitter handle is muxsan_ev. I saw a post on Twitter they made the other day which reminded me:

https://twitter.com/muxsan_ev/status/1250013161954119680?s=20


A while back when the mk1 Leaf was rock bottom pricing (sub £5k or so) I considered getting one and driving out there for an extender. At the time he was busy, and he relies on scrapped cars for sourcing battery packs so there can be quite a wait. If you can source a battery yourself and get it out to him that's the best way. He also does extender packs in the boot. Lots of options, surprised it isn't more popular.

Pricing for upgrades:

https://muxsan.com/#nissan-leaf-battery-swaps/upgrades
£12k to upgrade my Leaf to 62kw. That actually sounds a lot more palatable than 32k for a new one.
 
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