Poll: Exit Poll: UK General Election 2017 - Results discussion and OcUK Exit Poll - Closing 8th July

[StriderX]

OH come on :| dont mention attacks...

 

[Greebo]

According to that exit poll

We are forecasting 11 Conservative gains. Six of those are in Scotland, four in Wales and one in East England.
Projected: Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine 99% chance of a Conservative victory
Projected: Alyn & Deeside 97% chance of a Conservative victory
Projected: Angus 90% chance of a Conservative victory
Projected: Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk 99% chance of a Conservative victory
Projected: Clacton 99% chance of a Conservative victory
Projected: Clwyd South 97% chance of a Conservative victory
Projected: Delyn 98% chance of a Conservative victory
Projected: Dumfries & Galloway 99% chance of a Conservative victory
Projected: Moray 99% chance of a Conservative victory
Projected: Perth & Perthshire North 99% chance of a Conservative victory
Projected: Wrexham 99% chance of a Conservative victor

We are forecasting 14 Labour gains. Five of those are in North-West England, three in London and one each in Scotland, East England, the East Midlands, the West Midlands, South-East England, Yorkshire and the Humber.
Projected: Bedford 97% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: Bolton West 99% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: Brighton Kemptown 99% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: Bury North 99% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: Croydon Central 99% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: Derby North 99% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: Edinburgh North & Leith 81% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: Enfield Southgate 93% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: Finchley & Golders Green 91% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: Keighley 80% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: South Ribble 83% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: Warrington South 90% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: Weaver Vale 99% chance of a Labour victory
Projected: Worcester 81% chance of a Labour victory

 

[englishpremier]

With backdoors being put in encryption, that could be entertaining

If it was that easy then no doubt all our military and everything else in the UK is exposed. Might as well ban all electronics.

 

[wildman]

Newcastle Con 9134 Lab 24071! Up 2200 from 2015.

not exactly a performance indicator, it was a massively safe seat.

 

[FTM]

will the ulster unionsists want a hard border with the ROI???

how do you think that will go down

 

[Nitefly]

OH come on :| dont mention attacks...

Yeah :/ that is kinda lame.

Regretting voting labour already.... nah

 

[icehot]

What? That everyone doesn't share your point of view?
Grow up.

I never said everyone should share my point, please get over yourself.

 

[Rilot]

Newcastle result says exit poll is not accurate.

 

[Stumble Bum]

Exit poll all over the place?

 

[McBain]

Projected: Moray 99% chance of a Conservative victory

 

[Jokester]

Wheres the swingometer?

Bit disappointed Jon Snow isn't about, was going to break out the "Winter is coming, a Labour winter of discontent" line.

 

[MichaelAwkward]

Only because it's a safe labour seat.

 

[Uther]

Newcastle result says exit poll is not accurate.

Yep, anything could happen.

 

[Naff8000]

Newcastle result says exit poll is not accurate.

How? What was the poll for Newcastle? It's a safe Labour seat.

 

[Christmas themed thank]

It's still a swing to Labour though.

 

[MichaelAwkward]

Will be interesting to see how the brexit vote reflects in sunderlands vote.

 

[Dolph]

Newcastle -

Lib - 1812
Con- 9134
UKIP - 1482
Lab - 24071
Green - 595

Nowhere near the swing predicted by the exit poll though, it's a 2% swing to Labour when they were predicting a 70%+ labour vote and a 7% swing based on the exit poll (Source, BBC live TV)

 

[muon]

Exit poll all over the place?

Only one so far. Exit polls won't get everything right.

1 - 0 against though.

 

[StriderX]

Turnout is up though, so... ahh il wait D:

 

[Firestar_3x]

So only a 2.1% swing rather and a 7%+ swing in Newcastle.

That has to be bad news for Labour?