Massa (Friday):
In complete contrast to McLaren, instead of running only heavy, Ferrari have run only light. Massa’s three stints (for 41 laps) were -3.0s, -2.4s and -2.4s. If we assume that this means that there was no refuelling, and that the car was able to run only those 41 laps, then the pace difference fuel-corrected to a 66 lap race is 2.75s. If this were the case, then this would give Ferrari a 0.25s pace advantage over Red Bull. It is likely that both of the cars were fuelled more highly, so in reality we cannot tell which is faster, but it does seem likely that the Ferrari is reasonably competitive. This evidence suggests that we will not see the Ferrari too far adrift come Melbourne.