Poll: General election voting round 5 (final one)
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Tax credits are a terrible system all around. That's why I prefer a universal payment tax offset model. The challenge is to balance the cost of living with the tax free requirements and still have it be affordable.
These all appear to be reasonable changes.
The real challenge is to make altrusim acceptable again from both sides. You get some really weird reactions sometimes when you offer to do something for someone for no reason other than it is a nice thing to do. The desire is often still there (see the idea of paying it forward) but there often seems to be a suspicion of ulterior motive.
i prefer to wake up to chaos 
The dollar rate will stabilise for us if Dave or Edd gains outright control. It will go to pot if we have a hung parliament whilst they bicker for a bit..
ultimately I think Dave will get 5 more years but he might get a shock depends how many libdem seats don't go back to labour.
The dollar rate will stabilise for us if Dave or Edd gains outright control. It will go to pot if we have a hung parliament whilst they bicker for a bit..
ultimately I think Dave will get 5 more years but he might get a shock depends how many libdem seats don't go back to labour.
Soldato
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What makes you think Cameron will be able to form a government? Seems pretty much impossible at this point if the polls are anywhere near accurate.
"Temporal discounting (also known as delay discounting, time discounting, time preference) refers to the tendency of people to discount rewards as they approach a temporal horizon in the future or the past (i.e., become so distant in time that they cease to be valuable or to have additive effects).
To put it another way, it is a tendency to give greater value to rewards as they move away from their temporal horizons and towards the "now". For instance, a nicotine deprived smoker may highly value a cigarette available any time in the next 6 hours but assign little or no value to a cigarette available in 6 months"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Temporal_discounting
Soldato
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It's nowhere near impossible.
I typically think the bookies are the a reasonable judge and Cameron is shorter odds than Miliband currently with most.
http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/3538...ates/?playlist_id=1620590328001#sp=show-clips
Start from 44:58 and listen to Charlie Munger.
Soldato
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People who live within their means rarely have to use food banks outside of the south. Hardship is inevitable for most south of Watford thanks to the extortionate house prices.
Even normal seeming families who frequent them have skeletons in their closet. More often than not, foodbanks are there to look out for kids when the parents are irresponsible in some way.
Even normal seeming families who frequent them have skeletons in their closet. More often than not, foodbanks are there to look out for kids when the parents are irresponsible in some way.
It's nowhere near impossible
If you take impossible as a literal translation then sure, if you take it as a figurative phrase meaning extremely low possibility then it is true, especially since the statement was conditions on the current polls being accurate. If the polls end up being highly inaccurate then for sure Cameron's odds increase.
What are you basing that claim off?
Even if you do everything right, you can still end up needing to use a food bank under this government.
And I don't know about you but I'm not perfect. I've made mistakes with my life, especially when I was younger. I've been lucky enough to have family and friends to fall back on. Not everyone does.
It's nowhere near impossible
Depends on how the libdems do, Cameron will find it hard to pass the queens speech if labour and SNP vote it down if lab and con have similar seat numbers, he would be forced to resign.
A wild D.P. appears - been away looking for the evidence to answer my queries above?
But anyway, it's not even an extremely low possibility. You love appealing to authorities, so how about the slew of guests on the Daily Politics this week who have said they reckon Cameron will be PM of a new government. There's a decent chance it'll happen. Hence why a decent number of pundits are saying as much (and not just that there's a chance... a decent number are saying they personally think it'll happen). Hence why the odds aren't showing Miliband as a runaway favourite (if you think he is, because there's an extremely low possibility of Cameron being PM, feel free to make some decent money at the bookies
).
I'll answer your queries when you respond to everything else in my post instead of selectively quoting pieces.
http://www.may2015.com/ideas/separa...te-by-2-3-points-but-miliband-most-likely-pm/
"Separately from May2015, a group of academics join other forecasters in thinking both parties will around 270 seats, which won’t be enough for Cameron to keep power."
People still going on about foodbanks? That figure that went from a million to 500,000 to 'actually we don't know how many unique users there are, we handed out 1 million vouchers. All we know know is that everyone on that list used it at least twice.'
So 3 days worth of vouchers could theoretically be used by 8,264 people 121 times? Roughly the million vouchers? This can also be heavily distorted by large families, as every member is counted.
So the number is between 8,264 and 500,000. We still don't know how many of that number actually genuinely rely on food banks to live... like any benefit a proportion of people will abuse the system.
However, in a society like ours, it still doesn't make for good reading whatever the number. But it's a far cry from the million we were originally meant to believe.
So 3 days worth of vouchers could theoretically be used by 8,264 people 121 times? Roughly the million vouchers? This can also be heavily distorted by large families, as every member is counted.
So the number is between 8,264 and 500,000. We still don't know how many of that number actually genuinely rely on food banks to live... like any benefit a proportion of people will abuse the system.
However, in a society like ours, it still doesn't make for good reading whatever the number. But it's a far cry from the million we were originally meant to believe.
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No one ever said 1 million used food banks, but 1 million 3 day food vouchers had been redeemed.
Let alone you math error. The average number of times someone used the food bank was twice, so the expected number of unique users in around 500million.
Your 8,264 users with 121 visits is wrong because the average number of visits was only 2, not 121.
The total number if unique users is no more valid than the total number of required visits. If someone visited 10 times because the Job Center suspended their benefits because they attend a job interview instead of the JSA interview, then that statistic is just as valid as 10 people had to use it once.
The important statistic to track is how many vouchers are required to stop people starving or turning to crime, or their children suffering malnourishment.
If you want to know how much money is in your bank account you care about the value of deposit and withdraws, not the number of each.
Let alone you math error. The average number of times someone used the food bank was twice, so the expected number of unique users in around 500million.
Your 8,264 users with 121 visits is wrong because the average number of visits was only 2, not 121.
The total number if unique users is no more valid than the total number of required visits. If someone visited 10 times because the Job Center suspended their benefits because they attend a job interview instead of the JSA interview, then that statistic is just as valid as 10 people had to use it once.
The important statistic to track is how many vouchers are required to stop people starving or turning to crime, or their children suffering malnourishment.
If you want to know how much money is in your bank account you care about the value of deposit and withdraws, not the number of each.
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My reading comprehension must be terrible then.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/pol...0000-not-one-million-says-Trussell-Trust.html
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32413080
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...umber-people-seeking-emergency-food-help.html
https://fullfact.org/factcheck/economy/food_bank_number-40853
Soldato
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Charlie Brooker's Election Wipe was great
I'm trying to remember the T.V show he parodied for the leaders, Camreon was Robot Wars, Nick Clegg was Total Wipeout, Nicola Bennett was Blankerty Blank, Stugeron was The Great British Break Up. I can't remember what he had for the rest but it was all spot on.
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